It’s difficult to say that any team in a league as competitive as the NFL “has no excuse.” But that seems to be the case for the Dallas Cowboys as they travel to the Superdome to face a short-handed New Orleans Saints team that has lost four straight.

The Cowboys will face a team with no starting tackles, no Alvin Kamara, and a quarterback with a foot injury that’s known for running the football. This injury news has moved the betting spread by more than a full point on Thursday morning.

The odds

  • Spread: Dallas Cowboys -6
  • Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys -235 / New Orleans Saints +190
  • Total: 47 

Public betting: Market loves the Cowboys

Per Action Network, the Cowboys are getting 73% of the bets. On primetime TV, that shouldn’t be any surprise. Especially when the Saints have lost four straight and are coming off another primetime game in which they were blown out by the Buffalo Bills.

Even after a rough past few weeks, the Cowboys are still 8-3 against the spread (ATS) which will guarantee money on Dallas’ side. Plus, well, they’re still America’s Team.

Trends

The pick: Dallas Cowboys bounce back strong

Not only do we need the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back, but here on Betting the Cowboys we also need a comeback. We started the season 5-1 in our weekly bets and have since been in a slump. We’re betting on bouncing back with the Cowboys.

I’ve never been a big believer in Sean Payton’s Taysom Hill project. I don’t doubt he can prove us wrong as he has before, but I don’t see Hill revamping a struggling offense in December. Not with a team that hasn’t had any wide receiver step up this season.

Even less when he’ll make his first start of the year without LT Terron Armstead, RT Ryan Ramczyk, and RB Alvin Kamara.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys are getting the gang back together! Just look at this tremendous stat from Laurie Horesh from ESPN Australia:

The Dallas Cowboys’ coordinators should do a good job handling business without Mike McCarthy’s presence on the sidelines. I’m betting on the Cowboys’ passing game to bounce back after a good defense and getting the game out of reach for Taysom Hill and company.

Good luck handling Micah Parsons!

The bet: Dallas Cowboys -6 (-110)

Season bets: 5-6

Odds via DraftKings