Dak Prescott? Cooper Rush? We still don’t know. The Dallas Cowboys’ quarterback situation is expected to be defined until Dak goes through his much-anticipated pregame routine. Reports indicate that many are expecting Rush to play, but with Jerry Jones optimistically speaking about Dak’s health on 105.3 The Fan, you just never know.
- Spread: Minnesota Vikings -3 (-115)
- Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys +140
- Total: 51
Public betting: Cowboys hold a small edge over Vikings
Prior to Thursday’s shift in the betting markets, the Dallas Cowboys were fielding close to 80% of the bets. That number has gone down dramatically as the public is expecting Cooper Rush to be the starting quarterback for the Cowboys.
Per Action Network, 57% of the bets are on the Cowboys for their Sunday Night matchup in Minnesota. If Dak Prescott is given the green light to play, we could expect late bets backing Dallas pouring in.
- Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last six overall.
- The Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 Cowboys games.
The pick: Up to the Dallas Cowboys QB situation
It’s a complicated week for the Betting the Cowboys series as we still don’t know who will play QB for the Cowboys. And if/when Dak Prescott’s status is officially announced, it’s likely the betting line will shift. Be it slightly or dramatically.
The only way to go about this is to split this into two potential picks and adjust when we get official word on Prescott’s status.
If Dak Prescott does NOT play: Vikings -3 (Up to -4)
I believe the Minnesota Vikings are somewhat underrated. They’re 3-3 but their losses have come against quality opponents. Their pass offense is completely different than last year’s as they’re now playing with 11 personnel more frequently. KJ Osborn has emerged as a very solid #3 wide receiver and Kirk Cousins is playing good football.
The Vikings are actually the #6 passing offense in DVOA per Football Outsiders. Their pass defense is also legit as they rank #3 in the NFL.
The Cowboys might have a shot at keeping it close even with Cooper Rush at quarterback, but I’d expect him to be forced into a shootout and I’m taking Cousins and the #1 defense in pressure rate in that scenario.
If Dak Prescott does play: Cowboys +3 (Up to -3)
The Dallas Cowboys have made it clear that if Prescott plays, it will be because he’s truly ready to go. In that scenario, I’m taking the best offense in this game. The Cowboys have been able to adjust to each and every defense they’ve faced this season and I’d expect them to do the same here.
Season bets: 5-1
Odds via DraftKings
Featured image via Lauren Roberts/Times Record News