“I think our next step as a football team is going out there and choking the team out,” said Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott after a 36-28 win versus the Carolina Panthers in Week 4.

At one point of the game, the Cowboys led 36-14 but as Zeke pointed out, they let the Panthers hang around, and even though the game never truly felt “at risk,” the team failed to put an exclamation point on the win.

Now, the Cowboys have a chance to do so versus a 1-3 New York Giants team that’s coming into the game banged up.

The odds

  • Spread: Dallas Cowboys -7 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Cowboys -290 / Giants +230
  • Total: 53

Public betting: Cowboys are live dogs

According to the Action Network, 72% of the bets are on the Dallas Cowboys this weekend. Not a surprise after the most popular team in the NFL started the season 3-1 with the lone loss being versus the Tampa Bay Bucs.

However, interesting to see the line remains at -7 in spite of that and recent reports on LT Andrew Thomas potentially being ruled out.

Trends

  • NY Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus the NFC East
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS for the season!
  • Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last eight as a home favorite
  • Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.

    Note: ATS stands for against the spread.

The Pick: Yes, we’ll back the Cowboys again

Even though this is a site dedicated to the Dallas Cowboys, the objective of this series is to win bets. So whenever that objective can be achieved by betting against the Cowboys, it will have to be done.

However, this week simply isn’t the one to do so. Do 7 points feel like a lot? Does this feel like a trap game? I understand why, but I don’t see the Cowboys being caught off guard.

The NY Giants are banged up at the offensive line, and play-makers like Saquon Barkley and Kenny Golladay are unlikely to be enough to keep up with the Cowboys’ offense.

Some have expressed concern about Dak’s mindset coming into the exact same situation as last year before his injury. A Week 5 October 3:25 pm game vs the Giants. 364 days before that dark day. But honestly, if you’re still betting against Dak because of “mentality,” you haven’t been paying attention.

Give me the Cowboys proving they can avoid a divisional “trap game” and move on to a 4-1 start.

The Bet: Cowboys -6.5 (-125)*

Anytime the half-point is worth 15 cents, we’ll be willing to buy it to give us a better chance at winning.

Season bets: 3-1

Odds via DraftKings

Featured image via Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports