NFL fans shouldn’t be surprised by the New York Giants’ 0-4 record headed into Week 5. On the other hand, the Dallas Cowboys’ 1-3 mark is surprising, to say the least. Both teams were expected to head in very different directions before the season. The Cowboys were supposed to be in Super Bowl contention while the Giants continued their rebuild phase.

Yet here they are, one win apart. For three straight years, the Cowboys have swept the Giants. New York is aiming to change that despite a bad offense led by none other than Offensive Coordinator Jason Garrett.

The Giants are looking to break the 20-point barrier for the first time in 2020. The offense led by Quarterback Daniel Jones ranks last in just about any category you can think of. If you’re into advanced metrics, they’re 32nd in DVOA and EPA per play. They’re ranked 31st by Pro Football Focus. If you’re not into advanced metrics, well, they’re worst in the NFL in points per game (11.8).

But as bad as the Giants’ offense is, the Dallas Cowboys have shown nothing on defense. They’re coming off of a humiliating loss in which they gave up over 300 yards rushing against the Cleveland Browns. Their front seven hasn’t pressured opposing quarterbacks enough and their secondary hasn’t played well with Chidobe Awuzie and Anthony Brown out.

Yet facing the Giants on Week 5 should keep Cowboys’ fans optimistic. This is the perfect opportunity for one of these two units to right the ship and gain momentum as the season moves forward.

But which side will win?

I’ll say the Cowboys’ defense gets it done on this one. I don’t believe they’ll walk away with a shutout, but they should be able to play way better than they did last week. Keep in mind, the Browns’ running game was already putting up strong performances before the game.

Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb were averaging 5.2 and 5.7 yards per carry respectively before Week 4. The Seattle Seahawks were already one of the best offenses in the NFL before scoring 38 versus the Cowboys. And versus the Atlanta Falcons, plenty of points came from the first four turnovers in the game.

I’m not saying the Cowboys have a good defense, but I’m betting against it being so bad that the Giants end up scoring a lot on Sunday after being mediocre for the first four weeks of the season.

What happened last Sunday got out of hand after the Cowboys gave away the ball on back-to-back drives. Daniel Jones & Co. might be able to play their best football yet, but it shouldn’t be enough to put the Cowboys’ offense in trouble.

On the other side, if Dak Prescott’s unit is able to keep the football, this could become the game in which the Cowboys finally get it together and blow out a team that shouldn’t be in the same conversation as they are.

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