The NFL season officially kicks off in less than a week. In honor of that, I pulled a few of the most interesting over/under totals I could find regarding the Tennessee Titans. There are plenty of intriguing storylines with this team in 2021, but these regular-season props caught my eye.
Ryan Tannehill: Over/Under 28.5 Passing Touchdowns
My answer: Over
The Titans quarterback is coming off of the best season of his career. Tannehill threw for 33 TDs on only 481 attempts in 2020. That was good for a really nice TD% of 6.9%. The only two passers with a better TD% were Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson. That’s some impressive company.
Tennessee’s passing game could become even more high-flying after adding future hall-of-famer Julio Jones, veterans Chester Rogers and Marcus Johnson, as well as Josh Reynolds. Tight end Anthony Firkser could evolve into a very solid redzone target, too. The Titans’ running game makes the passing game in the redzone even more dangerous. I’d expect Tannehill to surpass 29 TDs and possibly even outdo his 2020 campaign in that statistic.
Julio Jones: Over/Under 6.5 Receiving Touchdowns
My answer: Under
Before you get your pitchforks, let me explain my reasoning. I think Julio can (and will) be very productive in his first season in Tennessee. That being said, the legendary receiver has only eclipsed seven receiving touchdowns twice in the past eight seasons. That was while he was the clear number one target in Atlanta. Not to mention, that has been one of the most pass-happy offenses in the NFL for years, too.
Even as one of the best pass-catchers and athletes of this generation, he’s never been a super consistent touchdown-getter. Accordingly, it won’t surprise me at all if he has nearly or over 1,000 yards but less than seven TDs. My last pick on this list affects my outlook on this choice as well.
Bud Dupree: Over/Under 8.5 Sacks
My answer: Over
This selection feels somewhat like a safe one for this season. The Titans’ pass-rush struggled mightily last year. So, it is clear that the opportunity will absolutely be there for Dupree to grab the over in this category.
Also, take into consideration that Dupree had eight sacks in just eleven games last season with the Pittsburgh Steelers. That team had multiple elite pass-rushers that siphoned some of the production that he probably could have gotten, too. Regardless, the new Titan also had 11.5 sacks in his last fully-healthy season in 2019. Dynamic play from Harold Landry III on the other edge and Jeffery Simmons inside could open up a lot of lanes for Dupree to rack up nine or more sacks if he stays healthy.
#Titans‘ Vrabel: Little bit more on Bud Dupree each week as he returns … Hopefully no setbacks and workload will increase … Attitude has been fantastic. He’s stayed positive, stayed a leader even though has missed lot of time.
— John Glennon (@glennonsports) August 31, 2021
A.J. Brown: Over/Under 8.5 Receiving Touchdowns
My answer: Over
My pick here has a bit to do with my choice on the Julio Jones prop as well as my Tannehill selection earlier. If Tannehill throws for more than 28 TDs, I think Brown will snag nine or more of them. Using that same sentiment, if Jones only accounts for five or six of those touchdowns, it helps the chances that Brown will seize this total.
— Titan Up Podcast (@TitanUpPod) August 25, 2021
Plus, the young star WR has caught eight and eleven touchdowns, respectively, in his first two years in the league. He would just need one more than he had in his rookie season to obtain this over, and I am confident that he can get that done if he stays healthy. The loss of TE Jonnu Smith could also help Brown get more looks in the redzone.
Now, go enjoy some college football this weekend and lock in for the return of Titans football next weekend.
All props via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Featured Image via USA TODAY-Sports