The biggest thing most Pittsburgh Steelers fans want to know this offseason is whether or not Kenny Pickett or Mitch Trubisky will start at quarterback in 2022.

Pittsburgh signed Trubisky to a team-friendly deal in free agency before drafting Pickett with the No. 20 overall selection in the 2022 NFL Draft.

(Mason Rudolph, a four-year veteran, is expected to be traded before the start of the season.)

Trubisky is the most likely option to start, thanks to his previous NFL experience with the Chicago Bears and Buffalo Bills.

The Steelers, however, are likely hoping that Pickett will be the long-term answer at quarterback. Pittsburgh used an extremely valuable first-round pick on Pickett. And there’s no doubt the Steelers want that pick to be vindicated.

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May 13, 2022; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett (8 right) participates in drills during Rookie Minicamp at UPMC Rooney Sports Complex. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN’s Mike Clay made some stat predictions this past week for rookies in 2022 and he thinks Pickett will be the most productive rookie quarterback in the NFL this upcoming season.

Clay has Pickett finishing his rookie season with 2,308 passing yards and 12 touchdowns (he has Carolina Panthers quarterback Matt Corral finishing as the next most productive quarterback with 1,931 passing yards and nine touchdowns)

That’s obviously not a full season of production. And that’s because Clay thinks Pickett will start 10 games for the Steelers in 2022.

From ESPN:

Pickett very well could win the Week 1 job, but for now veteran Mitch Trubiskyis the front-runner — and in this exercise Pickett is projected for 10 starts. His yardage projection ranks 19th and touchdown pass projection ranks 16th among first-round quarterbacks over the past decade.

I think this is a fair prediction. Trubisky, as we noted, has the edge due to his experience. Pickett was the most pro-ready quarterback in the draft, but he still needs time to adjust to the speed of the NFL.

Trubisky winning the job and then quickly hitting his ceiling, something we saw from him in Chicago, seems like a likely outcome to the season. If that’s the case, then Pickett should have an opportunity to start a significant number of games for the Steelers in 2022.

Featured image via Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports