The Oklahoma Sooners are being disrespected by oddsmakers with shockingly low odds for the 2025 season

With the offseason transfer portal periods settled, attention is finally turning towards the next season of college football. Prediction pieces are being made as fans and analysts try to figure out what their teams will look like in the 2025 season.  Part of the process is looking at team win totals to see where Vegas […]

AJ Schulte College Football Trending News Writer
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Nov 23, 2024; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners defensive line ready for the play against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the fourth quarter at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium.
William Purnell-Imagn Images

With the offseason transfer portal periods settled, attention is finally turning towards the next season of college football. Prediction pieces are being made as fans and analysts try to figure out what their teams will look like in the 2025 season. 

Part of the process is looking at team win totals to see where Vegas and their oddsmakers have each team sitting, as that can provide some insight into how the public at large views a team.

For the Oklahoma Sooners, oddsmakers are…surprisingly low on their overall win total for this season. Two recent odds have the Sooners set at 7 and 6.5 wins for their total. 

This is a startlingly low figure for the Sooners, who have won fewer than eight games just twice in the last 25 seasons. 

Oklahoma is fresh off a 6-7 season in 2024. However, that makes their win total even more puzzling. They upgraded the roster at every conceivable position, including adding one of the best quarterbacks in the country in John Mateer, and the line is just one or even half a game better than the season where everything went wrong for the Sooners?

Again, the Sooners won six games and still made it to a bowl game in a season completely decimated by injuries, a terrible offensive scheme, and horrible quarterback play. They beat an Alabama team that had seven players drafted, including two first-rounders, and kept it close with Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Missouri. 

On their schedule, the teams the Sooners play in 2025 lost a combined 56 draft picks in the 2025 NFL Draft. That's a ton of lost production, especially for teams like Texas, Michigan, LSU, Alabama, and Ole Miss, who each had 7+ players drafted this year. While Oklahoma lost players like Danny Stutsman and Billy Bowman, they also returned key players like R Mason Thomas and Kip Lewis, and upgraded throughout the rest of the roster. 

With Oklahoma returning most of its production on both sides of the ball, including most of the pieces of an elite defense from last season, projecting them to add just one win at most feels…pretty disrespectful.

I can understand being a tad skeptical and wanting to see the Sooners perform in the SEC. That's fair, even if I would argue that they played much better than the results would suggest. Keeping expectations low isn't a bad idea in a vacuum. Just don't be surprised when the Sooners exceed them.