Why Arch Manning’s 12th-place SEC QBR ranking misses his true impact

Arch Manning ranks 12th in SEC QBR, but his 148.1 passer rating against top-25 teams reveals a different story. Why Texas’ sophomore QB is rising faster than his ranking suggests.

Nick Wright — College Football Writer
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Nov 1, 2025; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) runs the ball during the first half against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-Imagn Images
© Scott Wachter-Imagn Images

The SEC’s quarterback hierarchy is starting to take shape, and for the first time in a long time, Texas fans are right in the middle of the conversation. Arch Manning has thrown for 2,123 yards, 18 touchdowns, and six interceptions with a 63.5 QBR (61st nationally). Good, not great. But the story goes deeper than the box score. For a sophomore in his first full SEC season, Manning is playing like someone who’s beginning to understand both the burden and the opportunity that comes with his name.

Current SEC conference total QBR 2025 season leaders

  1. Gunner Stockton, Georgia (151.0 rating, 89.0 QBR)
  2. Taylen Green, Arkansas (152.2 rating,86.5 QBR)
  3. Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss (146.7 rating,84.8 QBR)
  4. Diego Pavia, Vanderbilt (162.0 rating, 82.8 QBR)
  5. Ty Simpson, Alabama (162.6 rating, 81.6 QB)
  6. Marcel Reed, Texas A&M (155.5 rating, 76.6 QBR)
  7. Joey Aguilar, Tennessee (161.0 rating,75.7 QBR)
  8. Beau Pribula, Missouri (141.8 rating,72.8 QBR)
  9. Garrett Nussmeier, LSU (133.8 rating, 71.5 QBR)
  10. John Mateer, Auburn (130.2 rating, 68.8 QBR)
  11. Cutter Boley, Kentucky (137.7 rating, 65.2 QBR)
  12. Arch Manning, Texas (146.9 rating, 63.5 QBR)

When the stakes rise, so does Manning

Manning sits 12th in SEC QBR (63.5), but that number doesn’t tell the full story of what’s really happening in Austin. Against top-25 competition, he’s been better than almost anyone: 148.1 passer rating, 70% completion, 664 yards, and five touchdowns. His efficiency spikes when the lights get brightest, which says more about his future than his rank.

His deep-ball confidence has grown since the Oklahoma loss, and over his last two games, he’s completing 75.8% of his passes. His 18 TDs, 6 INTs show polish, but not dominance. What’s missing are the “wow” drives that turn good quarterbacks into great ones.

Manning’s command on the field is growing, but the gap between his ceiling and the SEC’s most elite talent still exists. Stockton, Green, and Chambliss aren’t just accurate. They dictate tempo and efficiency week after week. That’s the next step for Arch.

Arch Manning isn’t the SEC’s best quarterback, but he’s trending toward the conversation faster than expected. His performance against ranked teams (148.1 rating) proves he belongs in the same sentence as the conference’s elite, even if the QBR formula hasn’t caught up.

If he keeps elevating in November, especially against No. 5 Georgia next week, Manning could finish 2025 as the quarterback no one in the SEC wants to face in 2026.

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