Pro Football Focus NFL insider Doug Kyed thinks the Las Vegas Raiders could make a major change this offseason.
But he’s not talking about firing head coach Josh McDaniels.
Instead, Kyed thinks starting quarterback Derek Carr, despite recently signing an extension, could be traded after the 2022 season.
If head coach Josh McDaniels is retained for the 2023 season despite Las Vegas’ early-season struggles — which is the current expectation — it wouldn’t be surprising to see someone fall on the sword. And there has been speculation around the NFL that it could be Carr via a trade.
If Carr is traded, Kyed’s sources indicated that the Houston Texans, who drafted Carr’s brother, David, in 2022, could be an option.
“I do think someone will trade for him, but the price will be driven down by the remaining term and that $40 million guarantee they will inherit,” a league source said.
The source predicted Carr could garner a second-round pick plus. It will be interesting to see if teams are as willing to trade for veteran quarterbacks this offseason given the lack of success those acquired via trade — such as Wentz, Matt Ryan, Russell Wilson and Baker Mayfield — have had this season.
One organization identified by another league source as a team to watch for Carr is the Houston Texans, who currently own the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft with a 1-7-1 record. The Texans rank 30th in expected points added (EPA) per play against through Week 10. They’re 26th in EPA per run play against and 29th in EPA per pass play against.
The idea is that Las Vegas could trade Carr for a second or third-round pick and then use their (expected) high draft pick in 2023 to take a quarterback (maybe Ohio State’s CJ Stroud).
But if the Raiders trade Carr, they could create some major locker-room issues. Carr’s relationship with Davante Adams is one of the main reasons why the superstar wide receiver wanted to leave the Green Bay Packers for Las Vegas.
What happens with Adams if Carr is traded? Would Adams demand a trade?
It’s probably a bit early to worry about this too much. But I think it’s something the Raiders will have to consider when discussing a potential Carr trade. It might not be worth it if it’s going to rock the whole roster.
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