One stat suggests there's a likely outcome for the Tennessee/Georgia game

It's not a dream — the biggest college football game of the season will be played in Athens on Saturday and the Tennessee Vols will take part in it. Tennessee, the No. 1 ranked team in the initial College Football Playoff rankings, is set to take on the Georgia Bulldogs (No. 3 in the CFP […]

Zach Ragan Tennessee Volunteers News Writer
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It's not a dream — the biggest college football game of the season will be played in Athens on Saturday and the Tennessee Vols will take part in it.

Tennessee, the No. 1 ranked team in the initial College Football Playoff rankings, is set to take on the Georgia Bulldogs (No. 3 in the CFP rankings) in a game that should determine the winner of the SEC East.

The Vols' offense has been electric this season, but they'll face their toughest test of the season on Saturday against a talented Bulldogs team.

Georgia is favored in this matchup and they should be since they're at home.

But there's one stat that suggests this game will be won by Tennessee.

Since Kirby Smart's arrival at Georgia, the Bulldogs are 1-9 in games where they allow more than 30 points (one of those losses was to the Vols in 2016).

Tennessee is averaging 49 points per game this season. They haven't scored fewer than 34 points in a game so far.

Even if the Bulldogs' defense holds the Vols under their average, Tennessee will still likely score at least 30 points.

And if that ends up being the case, the odds of a Vols win are significantly higher than the odds of a Georgia win.

Obviously anything can happen on Saturday. But history suggests Tennessee should win this game and essentially lock in their spot in the SEC Championship game.

Featured image via Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports