Predicting what a DeAndre Hopkins, Titans deal could look like

As first reported by Tom Pelissero, free agent wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins is scheduled to fly into Nashville for a visit with the Tennessee Titans on Sunday.  The visit guarantees nothing, but does at least signify that the Titans are making an effort to land the three-time All-Pro to a wide receiver room that lacks […]

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DeAndre Hopkins
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As first reported by Tom Pelissero, free agent wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins is scheduled to fly into Nashville for a visit with the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. 

The visit guarantees nothing, but does at least signify that the Titans are making an effort to land the three-time All-Pro to a wide receiver room that lacks experience. It's music to the ears of every fan in Music City, but signing Hopkins would require the Titans to creatively maneuver around the salary cap through contract extensions or restructures.

What would a Titans deal for Hopkins look like? Let's take a look at some contracts around the league to get a better idea. 

The easy comparison for Hopkins, who just turned 31 on Tuesday, is the contract Odell Beckham Jr. got from the Baltimore Ravens earlier this offseason. Beckham is just a few months younger than Hopkins and also has a history of elite play at the NFL level. Beckham's resume earned him a one-year, $15 million deal for the 2023 season.

That said, Beckham hasn't had a 1,000 yard season since 2019. He also missed the entire 2022 campaign and hasn't truly been an elite wide out since 2016. Hopkins, on the other hand, averaged 79.7 yards per game with Arizona last season. That put him on pace for over 1,300 receiving yards had he not missed significant time due to a suspension.

There really is little debate that Hopkins is a better player than Beckham at this point, and his new contract is likely going to reflect that.

According to Spotrac's market value assessment factoring in both age and production, the best comparisons for a Hopkins deal are the contracts signed by Davante Adams ($28.0M AAV), Cooper Kupp ($26.7M AAV), Stefon Diggs ($24M AAV), and Brandin Cooks (19.88M AAV) with Hopkins falling somewhere in the middle.

Spotrac projects Hopkins to get just under $70 million over three years and $23.2 million in average annual value. That means that Tennessee, who currently has just $8 million in available cap space, could need to clear up to $15 million through extensions and/or restructures. 

It would also make a lot of sense for the Titans to backload a Hopkins deal with guaranteed money. Tennessee has a lot of money coming off the books in 2024 and will have more cap space to play with. Delaying that pay day for another year would be no sweat of Hopkins' back, who is still being paid by Arizona in 2023, and would make fitting him into the payroll more feasible this season.

Either way, signing Hopkins will not come without risk, and it can be assumed that the Titans will have to outbid several other suitors to acquire his services.