2025 NFL Draft prospects that have too much hype early on in the evaluation process heading into the season
With the Summer slowly winding down, that means Summer Scouting for the 2025 NFL Draft is almost officially complete. With so many players having been evaluated, that means we are ready to construct big boards, positional rankings, mock drafts and deeper analysis on the class. This also gives some time to evaluate how your grades […]
With the Summer slowly winding down, that means Summer Scouting for the 2025 NFL Draft is almost officially complete. With so many players having been evaluated, that means we are ready to construct big boards, positional rankings, mock drafts and deeper analysis on the class.
This also gives some time to evaluate how your grades and analyst stacks up against the consensus. There are always going to be some prospects you are higher on in comparison, and others you are lower on. For the latter, there are several 2025 players who might be slightly overhyped currently.
RB Quinshon Judkins (Ohio State) – 5111v, 219v
Running backs can be a fickle projection at times. They are so heavily dictated on scheme and situation, that we see tremendous values near the tail end of drafts every year. That makes the debate over draft slots at the position extremely interesting.
Judkins is considered a potential top 50 selection in the 2025 NFL Draft class, both from the media and team perspective. Judkins is a physical runner who consistently runs behind his pads, and creates hidden yardage working through contact. His vision, however, is very hit or miss. The former Ole Miss standout also lacks a true top gear to create a ton of explosive plays.
Is Judkins a good running back prospect? Without question. Is he good enough to be considered a first round player in a loaded class? Absolutely not. There are limitations that some are choosing to ignore right now.
WR Tetairoa McMillan (Arizona) – 6050e, 212e
Let’s get this out of the way; I really like McMillan as a football player. I even have a firm second round grade on him, projecting as a plus starter long term on the NFL level. His combination of size, body control and hand strength is something to see. McMillan is also very productive, coming off of a season where he hauled in 90 receptions for 1,402 yards and 10 touchdowns.
There is a cautionary tale of buying into catch point pass catchers too often. For every Mike Evans and Drake London, there are the Hakeem Butlers and N’Keal Harry. When you don’t create a lot or separation, windows get smaller and things get harder. Having a unique skill set to create separation in other areas is important.
For McMillan, I don’t see a true secondary calling card to create separation. Can it translate? Yes, but it is not a high success rate.
WR Evan Stewart (Oregon) – 6000e, 175e
Stewart is considered this dynamic athlete with outstanding straight line speed. You see that explosiveness at times, but for whatever reason, it is very hit or miss. Some of Stewart’s best reps are at the catch point, which is unique for a player his size. You don’t want that to be your calling card at that size on the next level, however.
While dealing with some injuries the last two seasons, it has limited Stewart’s full impact as a wide receiver. He hauled in 91 receptions for 1,163 yards and six touchdowns as a member of the Aggies. Oregon will be expecting a lot more in 2024, hoping to see the athleticism pop on a more consistent basis.
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OT Emery Jones (LSU) – 6044v, 319v
This is one of the early hyped players that I just don’t get. There are several people I respect greatly who value Jones highly, and I’m just struggling to see it. On the positive side, Jones is densely built and powerful. He is also explosive working vertically, creating a nice amount of movement at the point of attack.
The biggest issues for me are the lack of flexibility and middling redirection skills. For a guy who many project as an offensive tackle on the next level, Jones has way too many reps where he gets overextended and bends at the waist. This can cause some major balance issues. In pass protection, Jones is really good if he can get his hands on you. When tasked with protecting his shoulders, there can be some issues.
There is a lot I like about Jones. I do think he has enough talent to last at right tackle, but he could potentially unlock a lot more upside inside. Regardless, this isn’t a first round player right now. I’m not even sure this is a top 100 player today.
IDL Walter Nolen (Ole Miss) – 6040e, 290e
Most first round mock drafts include Nolen, who is still living off of his five-star ranking coming out of high school. After hearing the amount of money he got in the transfer portal from Ole Miss, the Rebels are also buying into that past hype. You just didn’t see that type of player consistently while with the Texas A&M Aggies.
During his sophomore year, Nolen did show some really intriguing flashes. He finished that campaign with 37 total tackles, 8.5 tackles for loss and four sacks. Nolen made his impact known due to his dynamic first step and flexibility. The play strength right now, however, just isn’t good. Nolen is almost a non-factor in the run game, other than his occasional rep where he splits a gap.
Games like Alabama were especially worrisome for Nolen last year. 2024 is a big year. The talent is there, but it’s all upside and very little substance right now.
LB Danny Stutsman (Oklahoma) – 6040v, 240v
On paper, Stutsman checks a lot of boxes. He is tall, and is a well-proportioned linebacker who is expected to test very well. All the athleticism seems to be there. Stutsman is also very productive, heading into the 2024 season with 267 career tackles, 28 tackles for loss, seven sacks, three interceptions, four forced fumbles, and eight pass breakups.
Unfortunately for Stutsman, we don’t evaluate sorely on the box score, and stats can certainly lie. While there are flashes on film, Stutsman is a frustrating evaluation. His eye discipline and feel for the position is sporadic, leading him to misread a lot of plays. His physicality also leaves something to be desired. The NFL has been poor at evaluating the linebacker position, and it feels like Stutsman could be someone they are very high on.
Proceed with caution.