Week 10 results boost Packers draft capital

One of the biggest beneficiaries of week 10 was the Green Bay Packers draft stock. It's not the ideal aspect to hope for as a fan, but all the results elevated the team's projected draft capital for 2024 — their own loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers was the first one, but the New York Jets […]

Wendell Ferreira NFL News Writer
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Brian Gutekunst
Mike De Sisti / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel-USA TODAY NETWORK

One of the biggest beneficiaries of week 10 was the Green Bay Packers draft stock. It's not the ideal aspect to hope for as a fan, but all the results elevated the team's projected draft capital for 2024 — their own loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers was the first one, but the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills also lost.

Packers own draft picks

With the loss to the Steelers, the Packers jumped from the seventh to the sixth projected overall pick in next year's draft. The difference might not seem that significant, but it can be. It's a 100-point difference on the Jimmy Johnson trade chart, equivalent to an early fourth-round pick. And it can allow the Packers to get, for example, one of the top two offensive tackles — something that was not possible on the mock draft that the A to Z Sports team ran last week.

The Packers also have picks 40, in the second round, and 71, in the third. The later picks are harder to project, because there are compensatory picks starting at the end of the third round. But Green Bay has their own picks in rounds 4, 6, and 7 as well.

Extra picks

The New York Jets lost to the Las Vegas Raiders and intend to keep Zach Wilson as their starting quarterback. Those are good pieces of news for the Packers, even though they won't receive a first-round pick they looked for when they traded Aaron Rodgers. As Rodgers won't play at least 65% of the Jets offensive snaps, it's going to be a second-rounder. Right now, it would be pick 43 — this year, the Jets sent pick 42, which turned out to be tight end Luke Musgrave.

The Buffalo Bills also lost, to the Denver Broncos, and the Packers have their third-rounder after making a swap to send cornerback Rasul Douglas and a fifth-rounder to Buffalo. At the moment, the Bills are sending the Packers the 79th overall pick.

With the combination of their own picks and the extra draft capital acquired from AFC East teams, the Packers would have five top-80 picks, including the sixth overall selection.

All Packers regular picks, excluding compensatory selections for this exercise's sake, make Green Bay have 3139.2 points on the Jimmy Johnson chart — that's slightly more valuable than a first overall pick.

Compensatory picks

Besides their own regular picks and the Jets and Bills extra selections, the Green Bay Packers are also projected to have three compensatory picks for losing free agents. According to Over the Cap, Green Bay may receive a fourth-rounder for Allen Lazard going to the New York Jets, and two sixth-rounders — Jarran Reed with the Seattle Seahawks and Dean Lowry with the Minnesota Vikings.

The Green Bay Packers are the youngest team in football. And, considering how much draft capital they will have, the trend may be even more extreme in the next couple of years.