The Dolphins haven’t finalized their Week 16 quarterback decision, but it’s fair to wonder if the point of no return has already arrived

No final decision for Week 16 yet, but have we reached the point of no return with Tua & Miami already anyway?

Kyle Crabbs NFL National Writer
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Dec 3, 2023; Landover, Maryland, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) talks with Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel (R) during a timeout against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter at FedExField.
Dec 3, 2023; Landover, Maryland, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) talks with Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel (R) during a timeout against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter at FedExField. Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins‘ quarterback situation just got shaken up a bit — thanks in part to a disappointing performance from starter Tua Tagovailoa in Week 15 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel has never talked about Tagovailoa like this before in four years, stating outright that “everything is on the table” for who starts behind center in Week 16 against the Bengals.

But given this team’s rocky history with Tagovailoa, it is only fair to question if this situation has already reached a critical mass and, potentially, the point of no return. With a new general manager coming into the picture and McDaniel potentially willing to bench Tagovailoa to better reflect his own outlook while on the hot seat, a 2026 split feels more likely than it did even just a day ago.

Has the Tua Tagovailoa situation already reached the point of no return?

Dec 3, 2023; Landover, Maryland, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) talks with Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel (R) during a timeout against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter at FedExField.
Dec 3, 2023; Landover, Maryland, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) talks with Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel (R) during a timeout against the Washington Commanders during the second quarter at FedExField.Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

There’s a world in which head coach Mike McDaniel takes the podium for a press conference tomorrow and simply announces that Tagovailoa will continue to be the team’s starting quarterback. But if that is, indeed, what happens, it’s still fair to question if the damage to this relationship has already been done with this latest development. The pairing between Tagovailoa and the Dolphins felt more rocky than it has in years after the quarterback was publicly scolded by team leadership last offseason for not protecting himself from contact and giving himself a concussion early on in 2024. Before McDaniel got here, former Dolphins head coach Brian Flores put on a master class of how not to build a healthy relationship with a young quarterback, too.

Now? A public threat against his job status? Even if it comes without a formal follow up from McDaniel, how exactly is Tagovailoa going to respond?

It shouldn’t matter in the grand scheme of things. This is about the Miami Dolphins, not the pride or comfort of a single player. Miami is on the eve of change this offseason and the Dolphins have tried their best these last four seasons to put the proper bandages over the early wounds between the team and the quarterback. The most recent bandage, a $212 million contract, showed the first signs of seepage as Tagovailoa pressed to play at the end of last season, only for Miami to hold him out of action amid a mysterious ailing hip.

QB Tua Tagovailoa’s Miami Dolphins career thus far

  • 44-32 career record
  • 68% completion, 7.5 yards per attempt
  • 120 career passing touchdowns, 59 interceptions
  • Passer rating of 96.4

Tagovailoa’s seen his fair share of adversity as an NFL player and college prospect. He’s been embattled in quarterback competitions at Alabama, endured Deshaun Watson trade rumors in 2021, dealt with major head injuries and a dislocated hip, and more. But he has something now he did not have back then: financial assurances and security.

Tagovailoa once reportedly stood up to Flores at halftime of a Week 17 game against Tennessee once the situation between the Dolphins and Flores reached a boiling point. He’d had enough. With a 2026 salary guarantee north of $50 million, will this be another boiling point? Would a benching? Does just the threat of it push this relationship to the point of no return?

It very easily could. And that’s what makes McDaniel’s upcoming decision and the fallout from it so fascinating to watch. Tagovailoa’s time with Miami may be coming to a close. The question is whether or not we’ll look back on this moment in time as the catalyst that fractured things for good. The alternative? Tagovailoa is the survivor. General manager Chris Grier is already gone. Team owner Stephen Ross reportedly likes Mike McDaniel. If there is a quarterback change, it signals McDaniel is on cleaner footing than his quarterback. And that would also presumably mean the one most likely to return in 2026 is not the guy owed $50M+.

All eyes on South Florida tomorrow, as McDaniel expects a finalized decision for this week on Wednesday. But no matter what the call is, we may have already seen this marriage dealt a fatal blow.