Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson on Pace to Break Another Record
The Minnesota Vikings (10-2) are all smiles at the moment. They're a win versus Detroit away from clinching the NFC North and are still alive for the number one seed in the NFC playoffs. At a much more feasible rate than current number one seed, the Philadelphia Eagles. Most of the attention is being paid […]
The Minnesota Vikings (10-2) are all smiles at the moment. They're a win versus Detroit away from clinching the NFC North and are still alive for the number one seed in the NFC playoffs. At a much more feasible rate than current number one seed, the Philadelphia Eagles.
Most of the attention is being paid to All-Pro WR Justin Jefferson. And why not?
He is arguably playing the absolute best of any other player at his position. Earlier this season, he beat out former Vikings great, Randy Moss, and now owns the NFL record for most receiving yards in a players first three seasons. With five games still to spare!
However, it looks like Moss will continue to own the touchdown record through three seasons (43) as Jefferson only has 23 to his name. Meaning he will need to average four touchdowns per game to tie the record.
Possible. But not likely.
However, Jefferson does have a realistic shot at yet another three-year record. Jefferson is only 38 receptions away from breaking Michael Thomas' record (321) for most receptions by a player through their first three seasons.
Jefferson will need to average 7-8 catches per game to tie and potentially break the record. He averages 7.3 for the season. At that constant pace, he would miss tying the record by one catch.
The good news is the Minnesota Vikings schedule is very much in Jefferson's favor to set the new mark.
Below is the Vikings remaining schedule plus they're defensive rank against the pass.
- Detroit Lions – 26th vs the pass
- Indianapolis Colts – 7th vs the pass
- New York Giants – 16th vs the pass
- Green Bay Packers – 9th vs the pass
- Chicago Bears – 19th vs the pass
Three of the four teams allow 20+ receptions per game, which when factoring Jefferson's average target shares (29.3%) would mean Jefferson would finish with just enough to take the top spot.
It's not a done deal, but it's very possible Jefferson could add yet another record to his name.
Meaning the Minnesota Vikings, as an organization, would own the receiving record for receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns through three seasons.
Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports