The cost of drafting a quarterback may be too much for the Jets to bare in 2025

The New York Jets will have a new starting quarterback in 2025. They made that clear when they announced that Aaron Rodgers would not be returning under the new regime. The list of possible quarterbacks for the Jets is not a long list, but it is a depressing one. The free agent route seems to […]

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Colorado Buffaloes quarterback Shedeur Sanders (2) attempts to avoid a tackle by Brigham Young Cougars safety Raider Damuni (3) during the second quarter at Alamodome.
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The New York Jets will have a new starting quarterback in 2025. They made that clear when they announced that Aaron Rodgers would not be returning under the new regime. The list of possible quarterbacks for the Jets is not a long list, but it is a depressing one.

The free agent route seems to be lacking any real talent except for Sam Darnold, who should stay as far away from the Jets as possible. I recently detailed why I wouldn’t want to invest in Justin Fields, and Russel Wilson is a non-starter for me. Other than that, it is really high-end backs ups on the market and the Jets already have one of those in Tyrod Taylor.

The trade market is pretty bare unless the Jets want to try the retread veteran thing again with the likes of Kirk Cousins. But if the Jets were out on Aaron Rodgers, I don’t see why giving up an asset for Kirk Cousins makes more sense. Cousins was far worse than Rodgers last year, and he already spurned the Jets once when he famously took less money to sign with the Minnesota Vikings.

Which leaves the draft. Last season, six quarterbacks went in the top twelve. Unfortunately for the Jets, this is not last season. There are two names that sure first-round picks in the draft, and in all honesty, they are going higher than they should because of the premium placed on the position. Cam Ward and Shedeur Sanders are considered the two best quarterbacks in the draft.

With the Jets holding the seventh overall pick, the likelihood of one of the two falling to them is very slim. But that doesn’t mean they won’t end up with either player. Mel Kiper Jr. and Field Yates discussed the need for the Jets to move up in the draft on the latest episode of First Draft.

With the Las Vegas Raiders very likely to be in the market for a quarterback, the Jets would have to leapfrog them and move from seven to five in a trade with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Not that I agree the Jets should be aggressive to acquire a quarterback in a down year for the position, but if they were to decide to go that route, what would it cost?

That would depend on the draft pick trade chart. If the Jets use the old Jimmy Johnson chart, it would cost them roughly 200 points to move up the two spots. That means the Jets would give up their first, third, and fourth round selections for the fifth overall pick, assuming one of the two quarterbacks fell that far.

While this chart is the most well-known, it is largely outdated due to the changing dynamics of the NFL Draft and the individualization of NFL team analytics, which has each team valuing things independently of other teams.

Rich Hill’s trade chart has become one of the most commonly referenced charts outside of the Johnson model, though rarely referred to much anymore. If the trade was made based on that chart, the Jets would still give up their first and third round picks, but they would be able to hold on to their fourth-round selection.

There are other trade value charts out there but they all have the trade similar to the two mentioned above. Which chart the teams use depends on the methods in how each franchise places different values on different picks depending on their evaluation of players.

Of course, none of this is being discussed between the teams at this point as we still have a whole off-season of combines, workouts, meetings, free agency and owners meetings. At this point, the Jaguars don’t even have a GM to talk to about a potential deal. But it is something that new Jets’ GM Darrel Mougey needs to be prepared for as the offseason gets underway.