The Tennessee Titans are officially in line for a top-10 pick in the 2025 NFL draft, and potentially one of the top-5 or top-3 selections if things go a certain way to finish out the year.

When Tennessee won in Houston in Week 12, things were really looking up. It was a convincing performance from a group that seemed to be on the rise. And then in Week 13 they lose in what was a blowout early to Washington, and then lose in unbelievably embarrassing fashion to the Jaguars at home in Week 14.

And suddenly, they find themselves sitting with the projected 6th overall pick in the 2025 draft as of today. So it's time to ask the question: how high in the order could they possibly climb? How high in the order is reasonably achievable? And which teams should they have their eyes on the most to finish the year?

For starters, lets take a look at the top eight teams in the projected draft order. They all have just 2 or 3 wins. That means logging your 4th win is likely to take you out of the running for a top spot entirely. A 5th win means you'll certainly be picking 8th-ish at best.

Here are the top eight teams in the projected order, and who they have remaining. Note that the records on this chart are likely to be a game or two off depending on when you're reading this on Sunday, or later in the week. I'll update it regularly, but just know that the records of the teams in the draft order (left column) are correct:

Heads-up: you'll probably want to refer back to this chart a lot throughout the rest of this piece. 

So let's operate under the assumption that the Titans lose out and finish 3-14. I still personally see that as very unlikely, but let's say they do for the sake of determining best-case scenario. Let's also assume the projected strength of schedule, which is the tiebreaker for draft order and what Tankathon.com uses in their list which is referenced above, is accurate. That is subject to change over the final course of the month and influence the order of a tie break or two.

Obviously, if everybody ahead of the Titans in the draft order wins the rest of their games somehow (for the most part, as some must play one another), the The Titans get the #1 overall pick. However unlikely, this is on the table. In fact, if the Titans lose-out, they really only need everybody ahead of them to win just one of their remaining four games. And for every Titans win, that increases the number of required wins from teams ahead of them.

Now, what's the worst-case scenario if the Titans finish 3-14?

Well the worst outcome would be everybody ahead of them losing out as well, of course. But wait, some of these teams play each other. So a win has to be handed out somewhere. With that information in mind, let's say every game above the Titans in the draft order ends in a loss for the team above them, except Raiders lose to the Jaguars in Week 16 and the Titans lose to the Jaguars in Week 17. In that case, the Titans move up to the 5th overall pick.

In that same scenario, if the Raiders beat the Jaguars in Week 16, the Titans would move ahead of the Jaguars and Raiders to pick 4th overall.

Here's one final hypothetical for you: lets say the above scenerio plays out, but all the teams ahead of the Titans in the draft order don't simply lose out as well. Let's say they win half of their matchups against below-.500 teams remaining, rounding down. This is just a crude way of introducing some reasonable surprise wins for the bottom-dwellers.

In this scenario, the final draft order would be the Giants picking first overall at 3-14, and the Titans picking second overall with the same 3-14 record but a slightly more difficult strength of schedule.

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