Titans Owners Meetings Takeaways: The pie chart of options at the fourth overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft

I spoke with Titans coaches and executives at the annual Owners Meetings this week. Here is where I’m at on their first round pick with just a couple weeks left.

Easton Freeze — Tennessee Titans Beat Writer
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Jan 29, 2026; Nashville, TN, USA; Tennessee Titans general manager Mike Borgonzi and Tennessee Titans head coach Robert Saleh holds up the Titans jersey during the press conference at Ascension Saint Thomas Sports Park. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images

The last stop on the train of clues from coaches, GM’s and owners is the NFL’s annual Owners Meetings this week. As I leave sunny Phoenix having spent the past three days talking to important people across the league, now feels like the right time to update where I’m at on the Titans’ first overall draft pick.

This cycle has been dominated by weighing RB Jeremiyah Love against the top three EDGE prospects in this class: Arvell Reese, David Bailey, and Rueben Bain. After talking to as many people as I can about where the Titans might go, here is my pie chart of odds I see for Tennessee at 4.

My odds for Titans at fourth overall in the 2026 NFL Draft

Arvell Reese/David Bailey: 50%

I’m lumping Reese and Bailey into the same bucket because, first of all, there’s no chance both of them are there at 4 overall. Between the Jets who we fully expect to take one of these two players, and the Cardinals who could arguably justify adding EDGE easier than they could justify taking an OT, in no world are both of these players still on the board at 4. That’s ok, and I think the Titans would prioritize either. I came into the Owners Meetings thinking the Titans would take one of these guys if they’re there, and I leave more emboldened in that take.

Jeremiyah Love: 35%

This is probably 5-10 percentage points higher than I came into the meetings thinking. Mike Borgonzi’s insistence that the Titans will take the best available football player, regardless of what position they play, certainly perks one’s ears up. Love is the best or second best player on just about every board I’ve seen, and I certainly think he’s the top football player in this class.

And yet, this doesn’t ensure Love will be the pick by any means. I still don’t feel like a running back at fourth overall is in Mike Borgonzi’s nature. But if you asked me today what the most likely scenario at picks 1-3 is, I am comfortably saying Mendoza-Reese-Bailey, in some order at least. I’ll be at least a tad surprised at this point if both Reese and Bailey aren’t gone by 4. Which means ladies and gentlemen, start your Titans engines! In this scenario, I really still don’t have a strong feel for how things will go! I think Love is the most likely outcome, but I cannot honestly say I’m comfortable with that prediction yet based on all of my digging so far.

Rueben Bain: 10%

A 1-in-10 chance is the best I’m willing to offer the Rueben Bain hive after the owners meetings. The only reason I’m not giving him longer odds is because of how many glowing things I heard from Titans people both on and off the record. Titans brass seems to think he won’t have an issue lining up as a wide nine EDGE in the NFL, even despite his length and speed shortcomings. I can’t say I totally agree with that, but fair enough! Maybe they see him differently than most of the draft community does!

And yet, I just don’t buy this as an ideal fit. There are reasons both on and off the field that give me real pause. I don’t think he fits (based on the role I think he ultimately settles into) seamlessly onto this Titans roster as currently constructed, at least if you want him to be a real starter out of the gates. I think Bain goes in the back-half of the top-10, and unless the Titans find a trade partner, they probably won’t be taking him.

Sonny Styles: 3%

My favorite theory at the moment is that the Titans’ insistence on taking the best available football player at four is actually a soft-launch of the Styles selection. Styles is the best player in this class according to some, and he suffers from the same devalued-position discussion that Love does. But middle linebacker is arguably even less impactful than running back, and the recent history of top-prospect hit rate at these positions are two different extremes. Running backs are safe, and linebackers seemingly aren’t! Even though I think Styles is on a different level.

Carnell Tate: 2%

I’m still giving Tate a 2% chance for two reasons: one, I think everybody was wrong to write him off as a possibility for this team during combine week. he’s a top prosect who I think will be a very good player in the NFL. But second and more importantly, I think it’s funny that after all of this it could still just be the Ohio State receiver. So there is a part of me rooting for this longshot.

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