Top quarterback prop bets for NFL's Week 9 schedule
Week 9 marks the halfway point of the NFL's regular season, and the stakes are beginning to heat up. Quarterbacks usually shoulder the bulk of the pressure, with some rising to the occasion and others buckling at the knees. Here are our top quarterback prop bets for this week. *Odds subject to change Chiefs QB […]
Week 9 marks the halfway point of the NFL's regular season, and the stakes are beginning to heat up. Quarterbacks usually shoulder the bulk of the pressure, with some rising to the occasion and others buckling at the knees.
Here are our top quarterback prop bets for this week.
*Odds subject to change
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes OVER 250 passing yards (+100)
After losing his top two wide receivers to injury, Mahomes hasn't been able to put up the numbers we are accustomed to from him this season. However, he's still coming through in clutch moments and the Chiefs' offense has found some consistency over the past few weeks.
He has thrown for over 250 yards in two of his last three games and has a great matchup against a Buccaneers' defense that ranks 29th against the pass, surrendering 255 yards per game. Mahomes also has a new weapon in wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, who eased into Kansas City's offense last week with two catches on 23 snaps.
Hopkins will take on a bigger workload in this game after having two weeks of practice under his belt. Not only does Hopkins provide Mahomes with another high-end receiving option, but he should open things up for speedy rookie receiver Xavier Worthy down the field.
Broncos QB Bo Nix OVER 213.5 passing yards (-115)
After a rough start to the season the rookie Nix has settled in nicely, throwing eight touchdowns and just one interception over his past five games. His confidence is growing each week and he has established a good chemistry with wide receiver Courtland Sutton.
Nix should find some success against a poor Ravens pass defense, which ranks dead last in the league. Trying to keep pace with Baltimore's explosive offense should lead to plenty of passing attempts. Nix has eclipsed 213 passing yards four times this season and twice in his last three games.
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts 2+ passing touchdowns (+101)
With his top two wide receivers in A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith returning from injury two weeks ago, Hurts has had a major spike in completion percentage and hasn't thrown an interception.
This week he should see an increase in touchdown passes as he faces a Jacksonville Jaguars' defense that ranks 31st against in yards allowed and has surrendered the most passing touchdowns in the league. Brown and Smith should be able to get vertical against a bad Jaguars secondary, which will lead to big pass play opportunities.
Vikings QB Sam Darnold OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130)
Darnold has thrown at least two touchdown passes in five out seven games this season. The seven-year veteran is having a breakout year and has operated the Vikings' offense smoothly and with poise.
Darnold has two explosive wide receivers in Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, and it appears that former Pro Bowl tight end T.J. Hockenson will make his season debut in this game. That's a lot of firepower for Darnold, who faces a Colts' defense that ranks 24th against the pass.
Bills QB Josh Allen UNDER 237.5 passing yards (-114) vs. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins quietly rank fifth in the NFL against the pass, allowing just 176 yards per game. However, they’re middling against the run, giving up 124 rushing yards per game. Those factors lead me to believe that the Bills will be run heavy in this game.
They have a great rushing attack led by James Cook, who averaged 7.1 yards per carry against Miami back in Week 2. Allen is one of the best running quarterbacks in the league and will contribute Buffalo's rushing attack, likely not needing to air it out a lot in this one.