What are South Carolina's chances to make the College Football Playoff?

A 1% chance, according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026). The South Carolina Gamecocks are 3-3 (1-3 in the SEC). Chance of a first-round bye: less than 1%. Chance to win the national title: less than 1%.

What does South Carolina need to make the playoff?

If South Carolina finishes the regular season 9-3, it makes the playoff in 16% of simulated seasons; at 8-4, less than 1%; at 7-5, less than 1%. The biggest game left is vs. Georgia (Sat, Nov 21, Week 12): a win puts South Carolina at 4%, a loss at less than 1%.

Who should South Carolina fans root for?

No single result elsewhere moves South Carolina's playoff odds by a full point right now — South Carolina's own games matter most.

Can South Carolina win the SEC?

South Carolina reaches the SEC Championship in less than 1% of simulated seasons and wins the conference in less than 1%. Ties for a title-game spot are broken with the SEC's official tiebreakers.

2026 season · Week 8

South Carolina Gamecocks Playoff Chances

Updated October 18, 2026 · Based on 6,000 simulated seasons

South Carolina (3-3, 1-3 SEC) has a 1% chance to make the 12-team College Football Playoff, less than a 1% chance to win the SEC and less than a 1% chance to win the national title, according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026). Projected regular-season wins: 6.1. Biggest game left: vs. Georgia (Sat, Nov 21, Week 12) — a win puts South Carolina at 4%, a loss at less than 1%. Playoff odds by final regular-season record — 9-3: 16% · 8-4: <1% · 7-5: <1%.

South Carolina Gamecocks odds (October 18, 2026)
Make the College Football Playoff	1%
Win the SEC	<1%
Reach the conference championship	<1%
First-round bye	<1%
Reach the semifinals	<1%
Win the national title	<1%