2026 season · Week 11
SEC Championship & Playoff Odds
Georgia is the favorite to win the SEC at 50%, ahead of Alabama (32%) and Tennessee (8%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated November 11, 2026, official SEC tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Alabama vs. Georgia (49% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Atlanta. The SEC champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 3.9 SEC teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: Alabama 95%, Georgia 95% and Texas 72%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 8-1 | SEC | 95% | 50% | 20% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 7-2 | SEC | 95% | 32% | 16% |
| Tennessee Volunteers | 7-2 | SEC | 53% | 8% | 3% |
| Texas Longhorns | 7-2 | SEC | 72% | 7% | 8% |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 7-2 | SEC | 22% | 2% | <1% |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 6-3 | SEC | 16% | 1% | 1% |
| LSU Tigers | 6-3 | SEC | 24% | <1% | 3% |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 6-3 | SEC | 10% | <1% | 1% |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 5-4 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Missouri Tigers | 6-3 | SEC | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 3-6 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Auburn Tigers | 5-4 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Florida Gators | 5-4 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 4-5 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 4-5 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 4-5 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |