2026 season · Week 8
SEC Championship & Playoff Odds
Georgia is the favorite to win the SEC at 30%, ahead of Ole Miss (17%) and Alabama (12%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official SEC tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Georgia vs. Tennessee (13% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Atlanta. The SEC champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 3.5 SEC teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: Georgia 70%, Alabama 56% and Ole Miss 50%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 6-1 | SEC | 70% | 30% | 10% |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 5-1 | SEC | 50% | 17% | 4% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 5-2 | SEC | 56% | 12% | 8% |
| Tennessee Volunteers | 6-1 | SEC | 39% | 11% | 3% |
| LSU Tigers | 5-2 | SEC | 35% | 9% | 5% |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 6-1 | SEC | 27% | 6% | <1% |
| Texas Longhorns | 4-2 | SEC | 35% | 5% | 4% |
| Florida Gators | 5-2 | SEC | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| Missouri Tigers | 5-2 | SEC | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 3-3 | SEC | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Auburn Tigers | 4-2 | SEC | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 4-2 | SEC | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 3-3 | SEC | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 4-3 | SEC | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 3-4 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 3-4 | SEC | <1% | <1% | <1% |