2026 season · Week 8

Pac-12 Championship & Playoff Odds

Updated October 18, 2026 · Based on 6,000 simulated seasons

Boise St is the favorite to win the Pac-12 at 46%, ahead of Oregon St (35%) and Texas St (10%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official Pac-12 tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Boise St vs. Oregon St (51% of simulated seasons), December 4 at the higher seed's stadium. A Pac-12 team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in 23% of simulations. Best playoff odds: Boise St 21% and Oregon St 2%.

Pac-12 odds
TeamRecordConferenceMake CFPWin conferenceWin title
Boise State Broncos5-1Pac-1221%46%<1%
Oregon State Beavers5-2Pac-122%35%<1%
Texas State Bobcats3-3Pac-12<1%10%<1%
Fresno State Bulldogs4-3Pac-12<1%5%<1%
San Diego State Aztecs3-4Pac-12<1%3%<1%
Utah State Aggies2-4Pac-12<1%2%<1%
Colorado State Rams2-4Pac-12<1%<1%<1%
Washington State Cougars1-6Pac-12<1%<1%<1%

Pac-12 race at a glance

Boise St is the favorite to win the Pac-12 at 46%, ahead of Oregon St (35%) and Texas St (10%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official Pac-12 tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Boise St vs. Oregon St (51% of simulated seasons), December 4 at the higher seed's stadium. A Pac-12 team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in 23% of simulations. Best playoff odds: Boise St 21% and Oregon St 2%.

About the A to Z Sports CFB Playoff Predictor

The A to Z Sports CFB Playoff Predictor: every FBS team's path to the 2026 College Football Playoff. It gives all 138 FBS teams their odds to make the 12-team playoff, win their conference, earn a first-round bye and win the national title, from 6,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Pick the winner of any game and every team's odds update, with each conference's official tiebreakers and the 2026 CFP format applied. Every team has a page with what it needs and who to root for, and you can build, download and share your own bracket. Free to use. No account needed.

Last updated October 18, 2026 · results through Week 7 · based on 6,000 simulated seasons.

How to use the College Football Playoff Predictor

  1. See every team's odds. We simulate the rest of the season thousands of times and count how often each team makes the 12-team playoff.
  2. Pick any game. Tap a team to make them the winner. Both teams' strength updates the way it would after a real result, and every team's odds update nationwide.
  3. Sim the rest. Use "Sim this week" or "Sim to Selection Day" — your picks stay locked.
  4. Pick the title games. "Title games" (after the last week) shows each conference's likely championship matchups. Pick a winner — the pick follows that team if it gets there.
  5. Make the bracket yours. Your picks shape the projected bracket — tap See the Bracket on any page. Tap any team to send it through, or edit the 12 to swap in any team. It follows the 2026 rules, so every Power 4 champion and the top Group of 6 team stay in.
  6. Go deeper. Conference pages apply each league's official tiebreakers. Team pages show what your team needs and who to root for.
  7. Share it. Copy a link to your scenario, or download a ready-to-post graphic of your team's odds, the projected 12-team field or your bracket.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored to win the Pac-12 in 2026?

Boise St, at 46% in the A to Z Sports model, followed by Oregon St (35%), Texas St (10%) and Fresno St (5%). The most likely Pac-12 Championship matchup is Boise St vs. Oregon St (51% of simulated seasons). The game is December 4, 2026, at the higher seed's stadium.

How many Pac-12 teams will make the College Football Playoff?

The Pac-12 has no automatic bid of its own. The highest-ranked team from the six Group of 6 conferences gets one, and a Pac-12 team earns it in 23% of simulations. Playoff odds: Boise St 21% and Oregon St 2%.

How does the Pac-12 break ties for its championship game?

Pac-12 tiebreakers, in order: 1) Head-to-head among the tied teams; 2) Record vs. all common conference opponents; 3) Record vs. the highest-placed common opponent, then down the standings; 4) Combined conference win % of all conference opponents; 5) SportSource / computer rating (estimated in the simulations); 6) Random draw. A tie for a title-game spot happens in 35% of simulated seasons. Source: Pac-12 release, Sep 3 2026.