2026 season · Week 11
Pac-12 Championship & Playoff Odds
Boise St is the favorite to win the Pac-12 at 69%, ahead of Texas St (19%) and Oregon St (6%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated November 11, 2026, official Pac-12 tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Boise St vs. Texas St (58% of simulated seasons), December 4 at the higher seed's stadium. A Pac-12 team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in 53% of simulations. Best playoff odds: Boise St 53%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 8-1 | Pac-12 | 53% | 69% | <1% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 5-4 | Pac-12 | <1% | 19% | <1% |
| Oregon State Beavers | 5-4 | Pac-12 | <1% | 6% | <1% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 4-5 | Pac-12 | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Utah State Aggies | 4-5 | Pac-12 | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 5-4 | Pac-12 | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Colorado State Rams | 3-6 | Pac-12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Washington State Cougars | 1-8 | Pac-12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |