2026 season · Week 8
MAC Championship & Playoff Odds
W Michigan is the favorite to win the MAC at 35%, ahead of Toledo (27%) and Ohio (25%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official MAC tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Ohio vs. W Michigan (34% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Detroit. A MAC team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in less than 1% of simulations. Best playoff odds: none above 1%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan Broncos | 5-2 | MAC | <1% | 35% | <1% |
| Toledo Rockets | 5-2 | MAC | <1% | 27% | <1% |
| Ohio Bobcats | 5-2 | MAC | <1% | 25% | <1% |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 4-3 | MAC | <1% | 6% | <1% |
| Buffalo Bulls | 4-3 | MAC | <1% | 4% | <1% |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 2-5 | MAC | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 4-4 | MAC | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 3-4 | MAC | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 2-5 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 2-5 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Massachusetts Minutemen | 4-3 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Akron Zips | 1-6 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 1-6 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |