2026 season · Week 11
MAC Championship & Playoff Odds
W Michigan is the favorite to win the MAC at 40%, ahead of Toledo (35%) and Ohio (12%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated November 11, 2026, official MAC tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Toledo vs. W Michigan (41% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Detroit. A MAC team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in less than 1% of simulations. Best playoff odds: none above 1%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan Broncos | 7-3 | MAC | <1% | 40% | <1% |
| Toledo Rockets | 8-2 | MAC | <1% | 35% | <1% |
| Ohio Bobcats | 7-3 | MAC | <1% | 12% | <1% |
| Buffalo Bulls | 7-3 | MAC | <1% | 10% | <1% |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 6-4 | MAC | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| Akron Zips | 1-9 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 3-7 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 3-7 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 5-5 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 4-6 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 3-7 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Massachusetts Minutemen | 5-5 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 2-9 | MAC | <1% | <1% | <1% |