2026 season · Week 8
ACC Championship & Playoff Odds
Miami is the favorite to win the ACC at 66%, ahead of Wake Forest (17%) and SMU (7%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official ACC tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Miami vs. Wake Forest (50% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Charlotte. The ACC champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 1.4 ACC teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: Miami 86%, Wake Forest 33% and SMU 9%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes | 6-0 | ACC | 86% | 66% | 10% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 6-1 | ACC | 33% | 17% | 1% |
| SMU Mustangs | 5-1 | ACC | 9% | 7% | <1% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 4-2 | ACC | 4% | 3% | <1% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 4-3 | ACC | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Clemson Tigers | 4-2 | ACC | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 4-2 | ACC | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 5-2 | ACC | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 4-3 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 5-2 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 2-4 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| California Golden Bears | 3-4 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 3-4 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 3-3 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston College Eagles | 3-3 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 3-4 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Syracuse Orange | 2-4 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |