2026 season · Week 11
ACC Championship & Playoff Odds
Miami is the favorite to win the ACC at 68%, ahead of Wake Forest (23%) and SMU (4%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated November 11, 2026, official ACC tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Miami vs. Wake Forest (67% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Charlotte. The ACC champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 1.6 ACC teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: Miami 95%, Wake Forest 50% and SMU 5%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes | 8-1 | ACC | 95% | 68% | 11% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8-1 | ACC | 50% | 23% | 2% |
| SMU Mustangs | 7-2 | ACC | 5% | 4% | <1% |
| Duke Blue Devils | 7-2 | ACC | 4% | 3% | <1% |
| Louisville Cardinals | 6-3 | ACC | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Clemson Tigers | 6-3 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 5-4 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston College Eagles | 4-5 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| California Golden Bears | 3-6 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Florida State Seminoles | 4-5 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 2-7 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NC State Wolfpack | 4-5 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 6-3 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 4-5 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Syracuse Orange | 4-5 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 4-5 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 6-3 | ACC | <1% | <1% | <1% |