2026 season · Week 8
Big Ten Championship & Playoff Odds
Ohio State is the favorite to win the Big Ten at 48%, ahead of Indiana (21%) and UCLA (13%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official Big Ten tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Ohio State vs. UCLA (29% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Indianapolis. The Big Ten champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 3.1 Big Ten teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: Ohio State 85%, Indiana 81% and UCLA 48%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 6-1 | Big Ten | 85% | 48% | 12% |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 6-1 | Big Ten | 81% | 21% | 8% |
| UCLA Bruins | 6-0 | Big Ten | 48% | 13% | 1% |
| Oregon Ducks | 4-2 | Big Ten | 15% | 6% | 1% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 5-1 | Big Ten | 30% | 4% | 1% |
| USC Trojans | 6-1 | Big Ten | 19% | 3% | 1% |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 5-1 | Big Ten | 16% | 3% | 1% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 4-2 | Big Ten | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | 5-2 | Big Ten | 8% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 4-2 | Big Ten | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 4-2 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 3-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 3-3 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland Terrapins | 2-5 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 2-5 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 3-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 2-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Washington Huskies | 4-3 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |