2026 season · Week 11
Big Ten Championship & Playoff Odds
Indiana is the favorite to win the Big Ten at 39%, ahead of UCLA (30%) and Oregon (10%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated November 11, 2026, official Big Ten tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Indiana vs. UCLA (48% of simulated seasons), December 5 in Indianapolis. The Big Ten champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 2.6 Big Ten teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: UCLA 80%, Indiana 70% and Iowa 33%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Hoosiers | 8-1 | Big Ten | 70% | 39% | 4% |
| UCLA Bruins | 9-0 | Big Ten | 80% | 30% | 2% |
| Oregon Ducks | 6-3 | Big Ten | 33% | 10% | 1% |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 6-3 | Big Ten | 26% | 8% | 1% |
| USC Trojans | 7-2 | Big Ten | 16% | 6% | 1% |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 7-2 | Big Ten | 33% | 3% | 1% |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 6-3 | Big Ten | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 6-3 | Big Ten | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 6-3 | Big Ten | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland Terrapins | 3-6 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan Wolverines | 5-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan State Spartans | 3-6 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 5-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers | 5-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 5-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Purdue Boilermakers | 3-6 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 2-7 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Washington Huskies | 5-4 | Big Ten | <1% | <1% | <1% |