2026 season · Week 8
Big 12 Championship & Playoff Odds
Utah is the favorite to win the Big 12 at 31%, ahead of Texas Tech (25%) and BYU (23%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official Big 12 tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Texas Tech vs. Utah (23% of simulated seasons), December 4 in Arlington. The Big 12 champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 2.1 Big 12 teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: BYU 61%, Utah 59% and Texas Tech 53%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Utes | 6-0 | Big 12 | 59% | 31% | 4% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 6-0 | Big 12 | 53% | 25% | 3% |
| BYU Cougars | 6-0 | Big 12 | 61% | 23% | 2% |
| Houston Cougars | 6-1 | Big 12 | 20% | 8% | 1% |
| Arizona Wildcats | 5-1 | Big 12 | 12% | 5% | <1% |
| Baylor Bears | 4-2 | Big 12 | 4% | 4% | <1% |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 4-2 | Big 12 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 3-3 | Big 12 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 3-3 | Big 12 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| UCF Knights | 3-3 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 4-2 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 4-2 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 3-3 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 2-4 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 2-4 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 4-3 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |