2026 season · Week 11
Big 12 Championship & Playoff Odds
Utah is the favorite to win the Big 12 at 52%, ahead of Texas Tech (14%) and BYU (9%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated November 11, 2026, official Big 12 tiebreakers). Most likely title game: Texas Tech vs. Utah (27% of simulated seasons), December 4 in Arlington. The Big 12 champion gets an automatic playoff bid; the model projects 1.9 Big 12 teams in the 12-team field on average. Best playoff odds: Utah 88%, BYU 36% and Texas Tech 28%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Utes | 9-0 | Big 12 | 88% | 52% | 5% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 8-1 | Big 12 | 28% | 14% | <1% |
| BYU Cougars | 7-2 | Big 12 | 36% | 9% | 1% |
| Arizona Wildcats | 7-2 | Big 12 | 10% | 8% | <1% |
| Houston Cougars | 7-2 | Big 12 | 19% | 7% | <1% |
| Baylor Bears | 6-3 | Big 12 | 6% | 6% | <1% |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 6-3 | Big 12 | 4% | 4% | <1% |
| UCF Knights | 5-4 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 5-4 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | 5-4 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 3-6 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Iowa State Cyclones | 4-5 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kansas Jayhawks | 3-6 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 4-5 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 4-5 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | 5-4 | Big 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% |