2026 season · Week 8
Sun Belt Championship & Playoff Odds
James Madison is the favorite to win the Sun Belt at 69%, ahead of Louisiana Tech (13%) and Louisiana (7%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official Sun Belt tiebreakers). Most likely title game: James Madison vs. Louisiana Tech (43% of simulated seasons), December 5 at the higher seed's stadium. A Sun Belt team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in 57% of simulations. Best playoff odds: James Madison 56%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | 7-0 | Sun Belt | 56% | 69% | <1% |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 4-2 | Sun Belt | <1% | 13% | <1% |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 5-2 | Sun Belt | <1% | 7% | <1% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 4-2 | Sun Belt | <1% | 6% | <1% |
| App State Mountaineers | 4-2 | Sun Belt | <1% | 3% | <1% |
| Troy Trojans | 3-3 | Sun Belt | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 3-4 | Sun Belt | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 4-2 | Sun Belt | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 3-4 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 1-5 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 2-5 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 3-3 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 2-5 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 0-6 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |