2026 season · Week 11
Sun Belt Championship & Playoff Odds
Louisiana Tech is the favorite to win the Sun Belt at 45%, ahead of James Madison (37%) and GA Southern (17%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated November 11, 2026, official Sun Belt tiebreakers). Most likely title game: James Madison vs. Louisiana Tech (67% of simulated seasons), December 5 at the higher seed's stadium. A Sun Belt team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in 2% of simulations. Best playoff odds: Louisiana Tech 1% and James Madison 1%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 7-2 | Sun Belt | 1% | 45% | <1% |
| James Madison Dukes | 8-2 | Sun Belt | 1% | 37% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 5-4 | Sun Belt | <1% | 17% | <1% |
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 6-3 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 3-6 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| App State Mountaineers | 5-4 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 4-5 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 3-6 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia State Panthers | 5-4 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 5-4 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 3-7 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| South Alabama Jaguars | 4-5 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Troy Trojans | 4-5 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UL Monroe Warhawks | 2-7 | Sun Belt | <1% | <1% | <1% |