2026 season · Week 8
American Championship & Playoff Odds
North Texas is the favorite to win the American at 34%, ahead of UTSA (18%) and Memphis (16%), according to the A to Z Sports model (6,000 simulated seasons, updated October 18, 2026, official American tiebreakers). Most likely title game: North Texas vs. UTSA (17% of simulated seasons), December 5 at the higher seed's stadium. A American team is the highest-ranked Group of 6 team, which gets an automatic bid, in 7% of simulations. Best playoff odds: UTSA 4% and North Texas 2%.
| Team | Record | Conference | Make CFP | Win conference | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green | 4-2 | American | 2% | 34% | <1% |
| UTSA Roadrunners | 6-1 | American | 4% | 18% | <1% |
| Memphis Tigers | 5-2 | American | <1% | 16% | <1% |
| Army Black Knights | 4-2 | American | <1% | 12% | <1% |
| Tulane Green Wave | 3-3 | American | <1% | 8% | <1% |
| South Florida Bulls | 5-2 | American | <1% | 6% | <1% |
| East Carolina Pirates | 3-3 | American | <1% | 2% | <1% |
| UAB Blazers | 4-3 | American | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 4-2 | American | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 4-3 | American | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Temple Owls | 2-5 | American | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Charlotte 49ers | 1-6 | American | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Navy Midshipmen | 2-4 | American | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Rice Owls | 1-6 | American | <1% | <1% | <1% |