2025 Three-Round NFL Mock Draft: Jaxson Dart shocks the world, Shedeur Sanders slides, and edge rushers dominate the first round
The 2025 NFL Draft is here. It's time for the final three-round mock draft that you [the educated draft enthusiast] will ever need. This particular mock draft combines large sample mock draft data with real life intel from teams around the NFL and some rather complex statistical projections to give us one last look at […]
The 2025 NFL Draft is here. It's time for the final three-round mock draft that you [the educated draft enthusiast] will ever need. This particular mock draft combines large sample mock draft data with real life intel from teams around the NFL and some rather complex statistical projections to give us one last look at how the draft might play out (without trades, anyway).
Some of these results aren't "chalk". Some of them disagree with the previous mock draft(s) that you read five minutes before this one. That's okay. This is about team fit, talent, shifting consensus data, and properly accounting for overlapping probability distributions that indicate where players may land. Enjoy!
3-Round 2025 NFL Mock Draft
Round One
1. Tennessee Titans: Cam Ward, QB Miami
The betting markets have Cam Ward listed with a 99.5% probability to be the first overall pick to the Tennessee Titans and that's still not quite high enough. It's happening. Sharpie. Ward went from completely unknown Wing T QB in high school to first overall and it's one of the best stories in the entire 2025 NFL Draft. He flashed immediately in his first two years at Incarnate Word, struggled with inconsistency at Washington State, but then put it all together at Miami. Davey O'Brien Award winner. ACC Player of the Year. First-Team All-American. The Titans get a good one here.
2. Cleveland Browns: Travis Hunter, CB/WR Colorado
Yes, he is a generational talent. No hyperbole. 2000 receiving yards and 21 offensive touchdowns in the last two years while also playing the cornerback position full-time at an elite level. The Browns should gladly plug him in as a part-time wide receiver from day one while asking him to shutdown one half of the field on defense. Easy pick here as a two-for-one special with Travis Hunter.
3. New York Giants: Abdul Carter, EDGE Penn State
Abdul Carter logged just one year playing edge defender and immediately became the best in the nation. He's a high upside slam dunk pick with versatility to play off the ball or anywhere else along the front six or seven the Giants need Carter to feature. It doesn't matter that they already have decent edge play. This pick could give the Giants one of the best defensive units in the league. If they go QB, that will come later based on everything our A to Z Sports crew is hearing.
4. New England Patriots: Will Campbell, OT LSU
The Patriots need to do their best to build around Drake Maye this year after trotting out one of the worst offensive lines in the league a year ago. Yes, the short arm length is a potential red flag if the Patriots want to play Will Campbell at left tackle, but worst case they're getting a stud offensive line star who can slide in and be one of the best guards in the league. All intel points towards this being a done deal.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mason Graham, DT Michigan
There is very real sourced buzz about multiple teams attempting to trade up into this spot, so the Jaguars may not hold on to pick five. However, if they do make this pick, grabbing the best defensive tackle in this class that posted elite pressure and havoc rates three years in a row is a good idea. The Jaguars could go a number of directions, but unless a team (somewhere between the Raiders and the Cowboys) trades up here Mason Graham should be the pick.
6. Las Vegas Raiders: Armand Membou, OL Missouri
The buzz has certainly been building for Ashton Jeanty to be the pick at six to the Raiders, but their apparent favorite tackle is Armand Membou. Surely they can't truly believe that drafting a running back will automatically fix anything. This Raiders team needs to rebuild and retool much of their roster before going all-in on a game-changing offensive talent with a short shelf life like Ashton Jeanty. Grabbing a foundational offensive tackle is the best move here.
7. New York Jets: Tyler Warren, TE Penn State
The Jets' new head coach is defensive minded, but the issues with the roster in New York are on the offensive side of the ball. The team could certainly go offensive line or tight end here, but they only have one halfway decent receiving threat. Tyler Warren is definitely a receiving threat, but he's so much more. He racked up over 1200 receiving yards, more than 200 rushing yards, and 12 total touchdowns while also being one of the best blocking tight ends in football last year. Give new QB Justin Fields a weapon that's the complete package.
8. Carolina Panthers: Tetairoa McMillan, WR Arizona
The Panthers have a major wide receiver problem. Adam Thielen is an aging shell of his former self. Xavier Legette is still raw and inefficient despite his athleticism. Jalen Coker is a UDFA-level talent. There are definitely a number of good edge defenders to take here, but this class is absolutely stacked with good pass rushers. Grabbing the WR1 (outside of Travis Hunter) here would make far too much sense. McMillan accounted for over 40% of Arizona's offense last season thanks to his size, speed, and YAC ability. Strong pick.
9. New Orleans Saints: Jaxson Dart, QB Ole Miss
Jaxson Dart going inside the Top 10 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft would shock much of the sports world considering most of the discourse surrounding him this spring, but it makes a ton of sense. A to Z Sports has learned that he is likely one of two top options at quarterback in this class for the Saints, with Tyler Shough living somewhere in the mix as well.
Dart may end up on the Saints via a trade back or trade up into the first round. However it works out, Dart is the perfect fit for new head coach Kellen Moore. He's got the mobility, quick release, creativity, and deep passing game skills that Moore has grown to love working with in the NFL.
10. Chicago Bears: Ashton Jeanty, RB Boise State
This is the absolute floor for where Ashton Jeanty will get drafted, but it also should be considered one of the most likely landing spots. If the Dallas Cowboys can't trade ahead of the Bears (which they may or may not be attempting to do right as this article is being written), then Jeanty would be the easy pick here. The offensive line was imperfect last season, so tackle is also an option, but the run game was one of the worst in the league. Adding an elite RB talent who can turn negative plays into positive gains is exactly what the Bears need to help Caleb Williams.
11. San Francisco 49ers: Kelvin Banks Jr., OT Texas
Kelvin Banks has fallen a bit down "consensus" mock draft boards, but every league source A to Z Sports has agrees that Banks is still firmly in the mix for the OT1 spot with a number of teams. Given the 49ers need at the position in the near and long-term, grabbing their future left tackle here is a smart pick. Banks is a former five star with three straight impressive seasons of lock down pass blocking. His only sack allowed last year wasn't even really his fault (thanks, Quinn Ewers).
12. Dallas Cowboys: Shemar Stewart, EDGE Texas A&M
If Tetairoa McMillan falls to the Cowboys that will be the "no-brainer" pick, but any other wide receiver pick would be a perceived "reach". Yes, that includes Matthew Golden of Texas. If the NFL Draft plays out this way the Cowboys will have missed out on their top RB target, their top WR target, and all three proven offensive tackles.
There are far too many good defensive lineman and edge players to pass up on here. And Shemar Stewart offers the wildest upside of them all given his traits. His pass rush rate stats aren't great, but not many edge players can take out a left guard and left tackle with one arm each (as seen in post below).
13. Miami Dolphins: Will Johnson, CB Michigan
If Kelvin Banks Jr. falls to this spot or a scout in the war room bangs the table for Josh Simmons then the Dolphins might go offensive line. Otherwise, they're almost certainly going defensive back. They need help at possibly both safety spots and outside corner. Getting the best natural outside cornerback in the class here is the easy pick. Forget the worries about long speed. He's a shutdown corner whose career passer rating when targeted is below 50.
14. Indianapolis Colts: Colston Loveland, TE Michigan
This is probably the floor for Colston Loveland and also the most likely landing spot for him. The Colts could also trade up for Loveland, but if he drops to 14 they sprint to the podium. Loveland nearly outproduced his entire wide receiver room last season because he was just too good not to target. And he did so while playing with a quarterback room that could barely convert a pass beyond the line of scrimmage. Elite receiving tight end. That's what the Colts need.
15. Atlanta Falcons: Jalon Walker, LB Georgia
You may be sensing a pattern here, but this is likely near the floor for Walker to be selected and (again) is perhaps the most likely spot. Jalon Walker fits perfectly with the Falcons as a pass rushing force off the edge who can stay on the field for every down as an off-ball linebacker to drop into coverage if necessary. The Falcons desperately need defensive help. Walker gives them a player who can fill several potential roles.
16. Arizona Cardinals: Jahdae Barron, CB Texas
The Cardinals would likely be selecting a defensive tackle had they not signed Dalvin Tomlinson this off-season. Now they need to fix the corner position. They had some of the worst tackling corner play in the league last year. Jahdae Barron is elite in that area. The Cardinals couldn't make up their mind on who to start at outside corner last season (three players with 500+ snaps there). Barron was the best outside corner in the nation last year with five interceptions and nine passes defended. Plus he can really line up anywhere in the back seven. Easy pick for the Cardinals.
17. Cincinnati Bengals: Mykel Williams, EDGE Georgia
The Bengals are drafting a pass rusher in round one. That's almost certain. A couple of the edge rushers they could select have apparent off-field red flags, so going with Mykel Williams here makes sense. They met with him formally at the NFL Combine and he fits the archetype that the Bengals' scheme targets. He struggled with consistent production and health at Georgia, but he has the traits to take a shot here.
18. Seattle Seahawks: Tyler Booker, IOL Alabama
The Seahawks are going to draft an offensive lineman in the first round. They have to if they're remotely interested in keeping Sam Darnold standing upright. Charles Cross was the only offensive lineman on the team who wasn't a liability last season, so snagging Tyler Booker here to play any interior offensive line role could be crucial to creating some sort of stability inside. Any time the team faced off against good defensive tackles last season they crumbled.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jihaad Campbell, LB Alabama
Multiple sources have shared with A to Z Sports that if Jihaad Campbell falls to 19 that he will indeed be the pick. He could go earlier, perhaps at 15 to the Falcons, but if he makes it here the Buccaneers will be selecting him to become their heir to Lavonte David. What's nice about Campbell is that he also brings impressive pass rushing chops too. He's not the right size to fit into Tampa Bay's true defensive end role, but he would bring some speed in spicy pass rush packages.
20. Denver Broncos – Omarion Hampton, RB North Carolina
This should just be written in pen. The Broncos have a head coach who loves to run the ball, but no good running backs to do it. They're going to be using their first or second round pick on a running back to help take some more pressure off young quarterback Bo Nix as he develops. Omarion Hampton averaged well over 4.2 yards after contact for the past two seasons as he's tallied nearly 3200 yards on the ground. Toughness. Speed. Contact balance. Denver Bronco.
21. Pittsburgh Steelers: Shedeur Sanders, QB Colorado
The slide for Shedeur Sanders might honestly keep going beyond the Pittsburgh Steelers as more and more realize (or admit) that there are a few imperfections to his profile. If Sanders is selected in the first round at all he'll be the first QB with negative rushing yards (yes, below zero) in his peak passing season to be selected day one since Josh Rosen in 2018. Regardless, there's real smoke that the Steelers are interested nonetheless.
22. Los Angeles Chargers – Kenneth Grant, DT Michigan
There's no way Jim Harbaugh lets his boy Kenneth Grant fall beyond pick 22. Grant is a freak athlete who can chase running backs down from behind at nearly 340 pounds. He's a run stopper who can push the pile in pass rush and that's exactly what the Chargers need. The one strong point along the Chargers defensive front last season was Poona Ford and he's gone now. Grant is the pick if he makes it here.
23. Green Bay Packers – Derrick Harmon, DT Oregon
The Bengals might actually surprise some people by taking Derrick Harmon at 17, but if he slides this far then the Green Bay Packers are certainly in play to pick him. Harmon's pass rush arsenal and balance as he slices and dices through opposing offensive lines is incredible. There's an argument to be made that he's the best true pass rusher in the class regardless of position, and the numbers back it up. He posted a 16% pass rush pressure rate last year as a defensive tackle. That's nearly three times positional average.
24. Minnesota Vikings: Malaki Starks, S Georgia
There's virtually no way that Malaki Starks slides beyond pick 24 (and he could go 13 to the Dolphins). The Vikings need to get younger at safety and replace Camryn Bynum who departed for the Colts this spring. Adding a three-year starter from Georgia who was the leader of that elite defensive unit for the vast majority of his college career is an excellent decision here. A to Z Sports confirmed at Georgia's Pro Day with multiple scouts that Starks' lackluster NFL Combine showing was a non-issue.
25. Houston Texans: Matthew Golden, WR Texas
The Texans had Matthew Golden in for a Top 30 visit and another private workout/meeting. This is their number one target at wide receiver. The mock draft community might think he doesn't make it here. His production profile (compared to historical precedent) suggests he will almost certainly drop to this point in the first round. The Texans keep Golden in Texas here and add a solid contributor to play the WR2 role alongside Nico Collins long-term for C.J. Stroud.
26. Los Angeles Rams: Josh Simmons, OT Ohio State
The Los Angeles Rams are going to be the tipping point of the entire 2025 NFL Draft that will influence how the rest of the board plays out. They don't have many glaring needs, so they could go any number of directions here. The betting markets agree seeing as they have cornerback, offensive line, tight end, quarterback, wide receiver, linebacker, and defensive line/edge positions are all listed with greater than 10% probability to be the pick for LA. They could reach for a cornerback here, but if Josh Simmons is available he's likely the pick. He was on pace to be the OT1 had he stayed healthy last fall for Ohio State.
27. Baltimore Ravens: Mike Green, EDGE Marshall
The Ravens could also go cornerback or safety here, but they need to get younger on the defensive edge. Kyle Van Noy will be 35 this season. They already have an elite run defense. Adding a ferocious game wrecker at pass rush like Mike Green who had 17 sacks last season would make sure their defense remained balanced for years to come.
28. Detroit Lions – James Pearce Jr., EDGE Tennessee
The noise about "red flags" with James Pearce Jr. needs to stop. Way back at the NFL Combine sources alleged "anger issues" and a "lack of love for the game" in Pearce, but those worries seem overblown. If a player who "doesn't love the game" can post back to back years with 20%+ pass rush pressure rates thanks to his elite first round athletic profile he's worth a shot here for the Lions. They desperately need more pass rush help opposite Aidan Hutchinson and they get that here.
29. Washington Commanders: Nic Scourton, EDGE Texas A&M
The Commanders could go offensive line here to help young phenom quarterback Jayden Daniels, but they need pass rush help badly. Nic Scourton racked up over 40 pass rush pressures in 2023 with Purdue before transferring to Texas A&M. He tried to bulk up a bit too much last year, which got rid of some of his twitch, but he's shed that to bring back some explosion for his rookie year. Commanders grab a player that should fit their system well.
30. Buffalo Bills: Walter Nolen, DT Ole Miss
Walter Nolen would be a Top 15 pick if it weren't for alleged "character issues" that have been circulating since early this spring. Important to note, most of the red flags have come from folks affiliated Texas A&M (where he left for Ole Miss). If any NFL team ahead of this pick can look past (again, alleged) character concerns then he might go earlier, but the Bills are in a spot where they would almost certainly give him a chance. They were not getting good enough tackling from their defensive interior last season and had zero interior defensive line players with more than three sacks in 2024. Nolen brings elite skills that should help remedy both issues.
31. Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Conerly Jr., OT Oregon
This has been the most common pick to the Kansas City Chiefs for the last month, and for good reason. Conerly Jr. put up multiple years of phenomenal pass blocking for Oregon, giving up just two sacks in the last two years. That's exactly what the Chiefs need right now–better pass protection for Mahomes. The only reason he likely falls this far is his ever so slightly undersized frame and some hit or miss issues when dealing with power rushers.
32. Philadelphia Eagles: Donovan Ezeiruaku, EDGE Boston College
The Eagles hosted Donovan Ezeiruaku for a Top 30 visit here recently and he fits the physical profile that the Eagles like in their pass rushers. He's also extremely technical, able to win in a variety of ways. If Ezeiruaku doesn't go here to the Eagles then he'll likely go within the first handful of picks in the second round. He's been a fast riser ever since the Senior Bowl.
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Round Two
33. Cleveland Browns: Emeka Egbuka, WR Ohio State
34. New York Giants: Jalen Milroe, QB Alabama
35. Tennessee Titans: Luther Burden, WR Missouri
36. Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Emmanwori, S South Carolina
37. Las Vegas Raiders: Grey Zabel, OL North Dakota State
38. New England Patriots: Jayden Higgins, WR Iowa State
39. Chicago Bears (via CAR): Donovan Jackson, OL Ohio State
40. New Orleans Saints: Shavon Revel Jr., CB East Carolina
41. Chicago Bears: Trey Amos, CB Ole Miss
42. New York Jets: Maxwell Hairston, CB Kentucky
43. San Francisco 49ers: Mason Taylor, TE LSU
44. Dallas Cowboys: TreVeyon Henderson, RB Ohio State
45. Indianapolis Colts: Xavier Watts, S Notre Dame
46. Atlanta Falcons: Bradyn Swinson, EDGE LSU
47. Arizona Cardinals: Tyleik Williams, DL Ohio State
48. Miami Dolphins: Aireontae Ersery, OT Minnesota
49. Cincinnati Bengals: Darius Alexander, DL Toledo
50. Seattle Seahawks: Azareye'h Thomas, CB Florida State
51. Denver Broncos: Tre Harris, WR Ole Miss
52. Seattle Seahawks: Carson Schwesinger, LB UCLA
53. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Princely Umanmielen, EDGE
54. Green Bay Packers: Benjamin Morrison, CB Notre Dame
55. Los Angeles Chargers: Quinshon Judkins, RB Ohio State
56. Buffalo Bills (via MIN): Kyle Williams, WR Washington State
57. Carolina Panthers (via LAR): Landon Jackson, EDGE Arkansas
58. Houston Texans: Jared Wilson, IOL Georgia
59. Baltimore Ravens: T.J. Sanders, DT South Carolina
60. Detroit Lions: Tate Ratledge, IOL Georgia
61. Washington Commanders: Wyatt Milum, OT West Virginia
62. Buffalo Bills: Darien Porter, CB Iowa State
63. Kansas City Chiefs: Kaleb Johnson, RB Iowa
64. Philadelphia Eagles: Elijah Arroyo, TE Miami (FL)
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Round Three
65. New York Giants: Marcus Mbow, OL Purdue
66. Kansas City Chiefs (via TEN): Alfred Collins, DT Texas
67. Cleveland Browns: Tyler Shough, QB Louisville
68. Las Vegas Raiders: Cam Skattebo, RB Arizona State
69. New England Patriots: J.T. Tuimoloau, EDGE Ohio State
70. Jacksonville Jaguars: Jonah Savaiinaea, OL Arizona
71. New Orleans Saints: Elic Ayomanor, WR Stanford
72. Chicago Bears: Jack Sawyer, EDGE Ohio State
73. New York Jets: Jaylin Noel, WR Iowa State
74. Carolina Panthers: Harold Fannin Jr., TE Bowling Green
75. San Francisco 49ers: Omarr Norman-Lott, DT Tennessee
76. Dallas Cowboys: Jack Bech, WR TCU
77. New England Patriots (via ATL): Dylan Sampson, RB Tennessee
78. Arizona Cardinals: Jacob Parrish, CB Kansas State
79. Houston Texans (via MIA): Shemar Turner, DT Texas A&M
80. Indianapolis Colts: Will Howard, QB Ohio State
81. Cincinnati Bengals: DJ Giddens, RB Kansas State
82. Seattle Seahawks: Jordan Burch, EDGE Oregon
83. Pittsburgh Steelers: RJ Harvey, RB UCF
84. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Andrew Mukuba, S Texas
85. Denver Broncos: Joshua Farmer, DT Florida State
86. Los Angeles Chargers: Terrance Ferguson, TE Oregon
87. Green Bay Packers: Ozzy Trapilo, OT Boston College
88. Jacksonville Jaguars (via MIN): Demetrius Knight Jr., LB South Carolina
89. Houston Texans: Cameron Williams, OT Texas
90. Los Angeles Rams: Nohl Williams, CB California
91. Baltimore Ravens: Kevin Winston Jr., S Penn State
92. Seattle Seahawks (via DET): Chris Paul Jr., LB Ole Miss
93. New Orleans Saints (via WAS): Ashton Gillotte, EDGE Louisville
94. Cleveland Browns (via BUF): Damien Martinez, RB Miami (FL)
95. Kansas City Chiefs: Josaiah Stewart, EDGE Michigan
96. Philadelphia Eagles: Deone Walker, DT Kentucky
97. Minnesota Vikings (compensatory): Denzel Burke, CB Ohio State
98. Miami Dolphins (compensatory): Emery Jones Jr., OT LSU
99. New York Giants (compensatory): Anthony Belton, OT NC State
100. San Francisco 49ers (compensatory): Billy Bowman Jr., S Oklahoma
101. Los Angeles Rams (compensatory): Oluwafemi Oladejo, EDGE UCLA
102. Detroit Lions (compensatory): Jalen Royals, WR Utah State
2025 NFL Draft could bring quarterback chaos based off late emerging trends in mock draft data and intel from experts
Quarterback chaos possibly brewing in 2025 NFL Draft based off latest trends
We'll be back with more NFL Draft coverage here at A to Z Sports soon! Follow me (@FF_TravisM) and A to Z Sports (@AtoZSportsNFL) on X for all the latest football news!
And if you want to see why Jaxson Dart might shock some NFL fans as an early pick in the 2025 NFL Draft check out his 2024 highlights in the video below!
