Ohio State vs. Purdue betting preview: Can Buckeyes cover the point spread at home?

Week 11 brings a break in the schedule for the Ohio State Buckeyes. After taking on a powerful Penn State foe last week, Purdue comes to Columbus. This should be more similar to the first few games of the 2024 season as far as winning margin. We have the latest Ohio State vs. Purdue betting […]

Ian Valentino — National College Football Writer
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Week 11 brings a break in the schedule for the Ohio State Buckeyes. After taking on a powerful Penn State foe last week, Purdue comes to Columbus. This should be more similar to the first few games of the 2024 season as far as winning margin.

We have the latest Ohio State vs. Purdue betting odds, best bets, player prop options, and a prediction for you to bank on. Let's dive in.

Ohio State vs. Purdue Betting Details

  • Odds/Point Spread: Buckeyes (-37.5) (-105)
  • Moneyline: N/A
  • Total: 53.5 (-110)

The Ohio State Buckeyes, with a 7-1 record, take on the 1-7 Boilermakers at Ohio Stadium on Saturday, November 9, 2024. For this game, FanDuel Sportsbook lists the Boilermakers as 37.5-point underdogs. The game's over/under is set at 53.5.

Ohio State vs. Purdue Player Props to Consider

Player props are not legal in the state of Ohio, but if you're elsewhere, you might be able to find options at a daily fantasy site under the guise of going higher or lower. It's not uncommon for matchups with projected blowouts to not feature player props.

Here are player props that we found that we like.

  • Quinshon Judkins anytime TD scorer (-200)
  • Will Howard UNDER 2765.5 passing yards (-114)
  • Jeremiah Smith OVER 88.5 receiving yards (-114)
  • First scoring play: Purdue field goal (+700)

Ohio State vs. Purdue Betting Prediction and Pick

The Boilermakers are having a tough season with a record of 1-7. In their last game, they faced off against the Northwestern Wildcats and unfortunately came up short, losing 26-20. They struggled a bit on the ground, running the ball 23 times for only 47 yards, averaging just 2.0 yards per carry. 

Overall, they ran 64 plays and managed to rack up 337 total yards. On defense, they allowed 25 completions on 39 attempts for 302 yards, giving up a completion rate of 64.1%. When it came to rush defense, they gave up 122 yards on 30 carries, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt.

On the bright side, the Boilermakers score about 20.3 points per game. They typically gain around 149.0 rushing yards, which places them 75th in the NCAA. This season, they’ve accumulated a total of 2,678 yards. In terms of touchdowns, they’ve thrown for 11 and run for 8. They’ve also logged 120 first downs and have had their fair share of penalties, with 53 infractions costing them 521 yards. They’ve turned the ball over 10 times, too.

Defensively, it’s been a rough ride, as they rank 129th in the nation, allowing an average of 36.9 points per game. They’ve given up 5.1 yards per carry, totaling 203.3 rushing yards against them each game. So far this year, they’ve allowed 1,626 rushing yards over 8 games. 

When it comes to pass defense, they’ve given up 1,959 yards, ranking them 84th and allowing 244.9 yards per game with a completion percentage against of 64.8%. Overall, teams are averaging 448.1 yards per game against them, which has them sitting at 121st in Division 1. They’ve allowed 12 passing touchdowns and 24 on the ground.

On the other side, the Ohio State Buckeyes are doing much better with a record of 7-1. Their last game ended on a high note with a 20-13 win against the Penn State Nittany Lions. In that game, they allowed 32 rushing attempts for 120 yards, which is about 3.8 yards each time. 

Their passing defense was pretty solid, giving up a completion percentage of 61.9% and only 150 yards on 13 of 21 passing attempts. Overall, Ohio State’s offense totaled 358 yards on 64 plays, averaging 5.6 yards per play. On the ground, they ran for 176 yards on 40 attempts, averaging about 4.4 yards per carry.

The Buckeyes rank 15th in the nation, scoring an impressive 37.8 points per game. They’re also averaging 457.6 total yards per game, which puts them 15th overall. However, they’ve picked up 328 penalty yards from 36 penalties, ranking them 124th and giving their opponents a bit of a hand. 

They’ve thrown 5 interceptions and allowed opponents to recover 5 fumbles, but they've managed to earn 175 first downs. Through the season, they’ve racked up 2,169 passing yards, averaging 271.1 yards per game, which is 28th in the NCAA, and 186.5 rushing yards for a total of 1,492 rushing yards.

Defensively, Ohio State is really impressive, giving up just 12.0 points per game, putting them 3rd in Division 1. They’ve allowed a total of 759 rushing yards this season, averaging 94.9 yards per game with only 5 rushing touchdowns. In total, they’ve let up 96 points. 

Through the air, they’ve given up 4 passing touchdowns and 161.5 yards per game, ranking 8th in the NCAA. Their defense has been active, participating in 464 plays this year, which is 3rd in the nation, and they’ve forced 5 fumbles and grabbed 6 interceptions.

Ohio State vs. Purdue Prediction

I'll take the Buckeyes to cover once again. The Buckeyes have such a substantial advantage on the ground, I think this new offensive line ends up dominating the Boilermakers just as Notre Dame did. This is a lot of points, but the Buckeyes should be able to win this by more than 40 points as they look to sharpen up some concepts with their new offensive line.

Ohio State vs. Purdue Prediction: Ohio State -37.5

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