The Dallas Cowboys are facing a Chicago Bears squad that's tough to figure out after last week. On Monday Night Football, the Bears blew out the New England Patriots after unleashing Justin Fields' legs on offense.

How will Dan Quinn's defense after that and will the offense bounce back after a mediocre performance?

This season we're 6-1 betting Cowboys' games in this weekly series of Betting the Cowboys. 

Last year, we had a positive record of 9-7 on this weekly series. That's a 56.3% hit rate, over the goal of hitting 52.4% which would be our breakeven rate on -110 odds.

The odds

• Spread: Dallas Cowboys -10 (-110)
• Moneyline: Chicago Bears +370 / Cowboys  -460
• Total: 42.5

The public is backing Fields

It's a little bit surprising that the public is on the Bears. Per Action Network, 55% of the bets are on Chicago and the points.

It's important to note that despite that, the betting spread moved from -9 at the beginning of the week to 10 points. Consider that a sign of where the "sharp" money is.

Trends

• The Bears are 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games overall.

• The Cowboys are 11-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

• Under is 6-1-1 in the Cowboys' last eight games overall.

The pick: Cowboys put up points

The Cowboys' offense matches up well against the Bears. Dallas should be in a position to win physically in the trenches and pound the rock even without Ezekiel Elliott. Chicago ranks 24th in the NFL against the run and should struggle with undersized linebackers against an offensive line that's played some nasty run offense this season.

This feels like one of those games in which one squad will out-physical the other. Tyler Smith and Terence Steele have bullied defenders in the run game and Chicago is a team they could do that to.

While the Cowboys will respect the Bears' talented secondary, I'd expect an aggressive game plan to force Fields to play quarterback early in the game. An early lead could arrive thanks to clean reads for Dak (the Bears rarely blitz) and favorable field positions.

After perhaps the best game of the season for their pass rush, the Bears traded away Robert Quinn, which should be a big blow to their defensive front.

On the other side of the ball, the Bears quarterback has had a lot of turnover luck lately as he fumbles a lot but bounces have gone his way. Last weekend, Kellen Moore's unit wasted a couple of favorable field positions but I'd expect that to change this time around.

Overall, the Cowboys' offense could blow up against the Bears and Chicago might find some explosive plays here and there while putting defenders in a bind with Fields' rushing game. Playing the over hedges our bets if the Bears really figured out things on offense.

The total is on the right side of the key number 43, so we'll play the over.

The bet: OVER 42.5

Season bets: 6-1

Last season bets: 9-7 (56.25%) 

Odds via DraftKings

Featured image via Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports