Titans vs. Bills: Two Bold Predictions

In just a few hours, the Tennessee Titans (0-1) will take on the Buffalo Bills (1-0) on Monday Night Football as 10 points underdogs on the road. After a disappointing loss to the New York Giants in Week 1, the Titans are looking for a bounce back performance to shock the world and remind everyone […]

Add as preferred source on Google
Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry (22) runs for a 76-yard touch down against the Bills at Nissan Stadium Monday, Oct. 18, 2021 in Nashville, Tenn. Titans Bills 096

In just a few hours, the Tennessee Titans (0-1) will take on the Buffalo Bills (1-0) on Monday Night Football as 10 points underdogs on the road.

After a disappointing loss to the New York Giants in Week 1, the Titans are looking for a bounce back performance to shock the world and remind everyone that the Titans are still contenders in the AFC.

It's a daunting task, as Buffalo is touted by many as the NFL's best team in 2022, but here are two bold predictions that would go a long way to helping the Titans pull off an upset in Buffalo.

1. Two Titans rookies will score their first career touchdown

Titans wide receiver Kyle Philips pulls in a first down catch during the third quarter. Syndication The Tennessean
Titans wide receiver Kyle Philips pulls in a first down catch during the third quarter.Syndication The Tennessean

With the news that WR Kyle Philips (shoulder injury) will play on Monday Night, the Titans will likely have four rookies taking some offensive snaps against the Bills.

Treylon Burks, Chig Okonkwo, and Hassan Haskins should all have a role in some capacity as well.

Philips and Burks were the two most targeted Titans receivers in Week 1, and while Ryan Tannehill has alluded to spreading the ball around more, his level of trust in both rookies gives me confidence that they will see some red zone targets moving forward.

Philips was the go-to-guy in crunch time, and while Tannehill's progressions encourage him to throw the ball to Austin Hooper or Robert Woods, the ball usually ends up going to he open man. Philips and Burks not only created the most separation of the Titans weapons, they had some of the better separation stats across the NFL.

With Dontrell Hilliard inactive, I also anticipate seeing more of Haskins in passing downs. The Titans have loved what he can bring as a pass-pro blocker, so much so that they used him as their primary back in the two-minute drill during Week 1.

Haskins is a hard runner between the tackles that can chip block or absorb contact with the best of them. He can fill in for Hilliard nicely and have a big impact on the Titans' passing game, and Tannehill has already shown a willingness to trust his back in the red zone.

I'll go out on a limb and say two of the Titans rookies find the end zone for their first career touchdown on Monday night. I'll go one step further and predict Haskins and Burks to be the recipients of a Tannehill touchdown pass.

How's that for a rookie impact?

2. The Titans will finish with more 1st downs than Josh Allen will rushing yards

Oct 18, 2021; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) scrambles out of the pocket from Tennessee Titans defensive end Denico Autry (96) during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 18, 2021; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) scrambles out of the pocket from Tennessee Titans defensive end Denico Autry (96) during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

This may sound insane, but hear me out.

While Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is a dynamic playmaker, known for his big arm and  running ability, he's historically struggled to run the football in matchups with Tennessee.

In four career games against the Titans, Allen has 27 carries for 90 yards, and one touchdown. That means he has averaged 22.5 rushing yards per game, and never rushed for more than 27 yards in a game against the Titans' defense.

As for the Titans first down number? Even with an underwhelming second half performance against the Giants, the Titans posted 19 first downs as an offense.

The league average thus far in 2022 sits right around 20 first downs per game.

If the playing calling on short-yardage scenarios is improved, I'd expect the Titans to outshoot their Week 1 total by at least a few first downs and have an above-average offensive performance.

The Titans know how important it is to contain Josh Allen and force him back into the pocket, and with Allen's rushing yards prop set at 40.5 on BetMGM.com, history would suggest that the under is solid.

You heard it here first.

Image via Andrew Nelles / Tennessean.com-USA TODAY NETWORK