At this point, everyone knows that the Packers may move on from Aaron Rodgers.

For good reason, people have widely linked Rodgers to the New York Jets.

Last week the Jets flew to California to meet with Aaron Rodgers in person. This was after the Packers permitted the Jets to do so. Shortly after, the Jets became the betting favorite for what team Rodgers will play for in 2023.

While the destination seems known, the compensation remains in the air.

When looking at what the Packers could receive in return for Rodgers, it is important to consider a few key factors.

The first is his age. Rodgers is 39 years old, which makes him the oldest nonkicker/punter in the NFL. Besides a few exceptions (most notably Tom Brady), quarterbacks have not historically performed well at this age.

The second is his contract. Last summer, Rodgers signed a three-year $150 million contract extension. That means Rodgers will have a 2023 cap hit of $31 million, a 2024 cap hit of $40 million, and a 2025 cap hit of $59 million.

Trading for Rodgers also means you are trading for that contract, which will largely limit any team's financial flexibility in the near term.

So, what could the Packers get for Rodgers?

I believe if they traded Rodgers last season, they would have received a package similar to what the Seahawks got for Russell Wilson.

The Seahawks received quarterback Drew Lock, tight end Noah Fant, defensive lineman Shelby Harris, two first-round picks (2022, 2023), two second-round picks (2022, 2023), and a 2022 fifth for Wilson and a 2022 fourth-round pick.

This turned out to be an incredible trade for the Seahawks and one the Packers probably wish they had made last year.

Another important QB trade made last offseason was the Colts' trade for Matt Ryan. While Matt Ryan is worth much less than Rodgers, he was an aging QB who the Colts hoped a change of scenery would ignite.

The Colts acquired Matt Ryan for a 2023 third-round pick. Looking back, Ryan probably wasn't even worth that.

Nevertheless, these two trades show the high and low ends of the QB trade market.

A lot has changed since the last off-season. At the time, Rodgers was coming off back-to-back MVPs and looked as good as ever.

In 2022, Rodgers looked like a shell of himself, and the Packers went from the number one seed in the NFC to missing the playoffs entirely.

Considering everything, I think the Packers will receive a package somewhere in the middle of those two trades.

A deal that would make sense is one first-round pick and one-two mid-round picks.

The Jets currently own the 13th pick in the draft, so receiving that, along with a couple of mid-round picks, would put the Packers in a good position.

While this would be a solid return, it is well short of what they would have gotten last off-season. However, with Jordan Love ready to step in, the Packers could use that additional draft capital to improve the rest of the roster and get back in the playoff picture.