Where do Jared Goff’s yards really come from? Part 2
This has to be one of my favorite series I've done since I started covering the Detroit Lions in 2014. It really started as way to shut down the idea that all of Matthew Stafford's yards and production came at the end of the game at garbage time. I managed to prove that wrong, but […]
This has to be one of my favorite series I've done since I started covering the Detroit Lions in 2014. It really started as way to shut down the idea that all of Matthew Stafford's yards and production came at the end of the game at garbage time. I managed to prove that wrong, but I just couldn't stop after that. I did three of these for Stafford and one for Goff after the Lions traded for him. Now it's time for part two.
Here's how it works. We're going to break down every single aspect of Goff's game from 2022. We're going to see where Goff succeeds and where he needs work.
Let's stop wasting time. Let's jump right into it.
Quarter Splits
| Quarters | Passing Yards | Passing Touchdowns | Interceptions | Completion % | Passer Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 1,075 | 7 | 1 | 64.7 | 103 |
2nd | 1,222 | 7 | 1 | 68.2 | 100.9 |
3rd | 950 | 5 | 3 | 63.9 | 91.2 |
4th | 1,191 | 10 | 2 | 62.9 | 100.6 |
There must be something about the second quarter in Detroit. That was frequently where Matthew Stafford saw the brunt of his production as well. For the second straight season, Goff was pretty successful in that quarter in Detroit.
The third quarter is still a problem though. This has just been a Detroit Lions problem altogether and it goes back to the Matt Patricia days. Something just happens to this franchise in the third quarter and it's not good. Maybe Goff and the Lions can correct that issue in 2023.
Point differential splits
Ok, this one is always fun. This is where we learn about how your quarterback performs under pressure. We're going to learn about how Goff performs when the Lions are losing a game. Let's take a look at the situations.
Trailing with 2 minutes remaining or under: 204 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INTs, 50 comp %, 86.1 passer rating
Trailing with 4 minutes remaining and under: 350 yards, 4 TDs, 1INTs, 55.8 comp %, 103.8 passer rating
Total Trailing: 1,963 yards, 13 TD's, 5 INTs, 64.1 comp %, 96.6 passer rating
Goff has seen improvement across the board here. Especially in total trailing. In 2021 Goff threw nine touchdowns and seven interceptions while the Lions were trailing. He threw two touchdowns and two interceptions while the Lions were trailing with four minutes or less to go.
This says a lot about Goff's improvement over the last year. The Lions can trust him to not fall apart when the team is down or the game is on the line late.
We now know how Goff did when the Lions were losing, how did he do when the Lions were ahead or tied?
Total Leading: 1,545 yards, 12 TDs, 2 INT, 64.8 comp%, 100.6 passer rating
Total Tied: 930 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INT, 67.5 comp %, 102.9 passer rating
The Lions had a real steady hand on the wheel when things were going right last season. When the team was in the lead, it looks like Goff did what he could to make sure it stayed that way. When the team was tied, he did what he could to put them out in front. Compared to 2021's stats int his category, it's pretty clear just how much better the 2022 Lions were than the 2021 Lions.
Snap type and huddle
Here we're going to break things down a little deeper and see what situation was best for Goff in 2022. We'll be looking at where Goff took the snap and how he played in play action vs not in play action.
| Type | Passing Yards | Passing touchdowns | Interceptions | Completion % | Passer Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Huddle | 4,169 | 29 | 7 | 64.8 | 99.6 |
No Huddle | 269 | 0 | 0 | 68.7 | 94.4 |
Shotgun | 2,964 | 13 | 4 | 63.7 | 91.0 |
Under Center | 1,474 | 16 | 3 | 68.4 | 120 |
I was a bit surprised to see just how little the Lions offense went up temp with a no huddle look last season. Just 32 attempts there. They went no huddle 50 times in 2021. I suppose that's still not a whole lot.
The Lions really like to use Goff out of the shotgun. That makes sense. That's going back to something Goff used to do at California a lot. He had success with it. Which is why it was weird when the Rams basically took it completely away. He was better under center last season, but he's still pretty good in the shotgun. Don't be surprised to see a lot more of that in 2023.
Inside and outside
One of the big things that people seem to say about Goff is that he can't handle the elements or playing in the cold. It's not something he's really ever had to do if you think about it. He played his college ball and the first five years of his career in sunny California. He's playing in Detroit now and that means playing against more teams that play in the cold. How did Goff do last year when he had to play outside?
| Type | Passing yards | Passing touchdowns | Interceptions | Completion % | Passer Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indoors | 2,749 | 24 | 4 | 65.2 | 105.9 |
Outdoors | 1,461 | 5 | 1 | 62.6 | 90.8 |
Retractable roof | 228 | 0 | 2 | 80.7 | 71.2 |
It looks like retractable roofs are the real enemy here. Ok, that was just one game. As far as outdoors go, Goff isn't too bad at it at all. That's six games worth of work. Obviously he's better indoors. the whole Lions offense is better indoors. They're the best indoor offense in the league.
The good news is that the Lions play a lot of indoor games in 2023 and play very little in the elements. Actually they only really play one game in cold weather this coming season and that's in Chicago in early December. Goff should be sure to take advantage of that situation.
Featured image by Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports