‘I can’t predict the future’ — Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes’ latest injury update isn’t what you might think it is

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes still maintains that Week 1 is the goal in his return from his knee injury. However, he didn’t commit to being out there against the Denver Broncos with training camp just around the corner. Here’s why you shouldn’t be too worried about that.

Charles Goldman NFL Managing Editor
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Dec 14, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) is sacked by Los Angeles Chargers linebacker Odafe Oweh (98) during the second half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has his eyes set on Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season. The star QB continues his recovery from a torn left ACL and LCL suffered during the 2025 campaign.

Mahomes, who went down in a Week 15 game against the Los Angeles Chargers, underwent surgery the following day in Dallas. He has since been participating in the Chiefs’ offseason workout program in a limited capacity. When training camp opens next week in St. Joseph, Missouri, Mahomes is expected to receive clearance to participate in full-team drills.

The big question on everyone’s mind remains whether Mahomes will be ready for the season opener against the Denver Broncos. Mahomes recently spoke to Yahoo Sports Daily about his progress, and while he reaffirmed that Week 1 is the goal, he stopped short of guaranteeing anything.

His comments might sound concerning on the surface. Mahomes didn’t come across as someone brimming with certainty that he’ll be under center for that opener. What he actually sounded like was someone who trusts the process and understands the stakes of getting this right.

Mahomes is letting the process dictate the timeline

Throughout his recovery, Mahomes has emphasized that this isn’t a one-man operation. He’s talked about how it takes a village, and that tracks with what we’ve seen from his rehab. Week 1 remains the goal, but he knows there’s more to it than simply setting it.

“Yeah, that’s my goal,” Mahomes told Yahoo. “I mean, I’ve said that since the beginning, is being ready to go Week 1. I can’t predict the future, and I know that it’s a long process. It’s not just my decision. But at the same time, I’m gonna give the doctors and the coaches every single opportunity they can to let me be out there Week 1.”

The typical recovery timeline for a combined ACL and LCL tear ranges from 9 to 12 months. Mahomes and the Chiefs have been methodical about his progression. During OTAs and mandatory minicamp, he was limited to 7-on-7 drills. The next step is full 11-on-11 participation at training camp.

The fact that Mahomes acknowledged that others will play a part in the decision about his availability is a positive sign. It means he’s not trying to force his way back onto the field before the medical staff and coaching staff are comfortable. He’s deferring to the experts while still pushing himself to be ready.

The preseason will be a critical checkpoint

One thing Mahomes has been consistent about is his desire to play in at least one preseason game before the regular season begins. Getting hit and trusting that knee in a live game environment is a necessary step in his recovery. It’s one thing to look good in practice; it’s another to absorb a hit and feel confident that the knee will hold up.

That preseason appearance could go a long way toward determining whether Mahomes gets the green light for Week 1. If he comes through it without any setbacks, the path to playing against Denver becomes much clearer. The key is avoiding the temptation to do too much too soon and risking a setback that could derail months of rehab work.

Week 1 against Denver carries extra weight

The Chiefs’ opener against the Broncos isn’t just any game. Denver just won the AFC West division. They’re a squad that could have reached the Super Bowl last season had QB Bo Nix not been injured during their AFC divisional round win over the Buffalo Bills. That loss in the conference championship still stings for a Broncos team that will enter 2026 with legitimate title aspirations.

“I don’t want to miss that game because that’s the team that won the division while we were gone,” Mahomes said. “And you want to be out there and ready to go with your teammates, and so I’ll give every single thing I can to be out there Week 1, and hopefully the doctors and the coaches give me the green light, and I’m able to go out there with my guys and compete against one of the best teams in the league.”

For Mahomes, the competitor in him wants to be on the field for that matchup. He wouldn’t bet against himself, and neither would anyone who has watched him play over the past several years. The Chiefs and their staff are doing everything in their power to make sure he’s ready.

The next several weeks at training camp will tell us a lot. It starts with Mahomes progressing as expected and participating in full team drills without limitation. If he gets through a preseason game feeling good, there’s every reason to believe he’ll be out there in Week 1. For now, the goal remains the same. The process will determine whether he gets there.