Tennessee Titans wide receiver Treylon Burks hasn’t had a smooth beginning to his NFL career. Burks was limited in rookie minicamp due to his asthma condition and underlying fitness issues. Though he has yet to look the part of a first-round pick, one sportsbook is projecting a strong rookie season from the University of Arkansas product.
Burks now up to 6/148/2 after this TD. Showing plenty of explosion for a 6-3, 225 WR. pic.twitter.com/78CHq9Gt0n— Jordan Reid (@Jordan_Reid) November 20, 2021
The futures market is hot in sports betting at the moment. We have entered the dog days of the summer, but that hasn’t stopped BetMGM from releasing regular season player props for some of the NFL’s top players.
BetMGM has set Burks’ regular season receiving yards prop at 799.5 yards. It’s a pretty steep number considering Burks’ inability to log meaningful reps on the practice field thus far, but the Titans’ lack of depth at the position is certainly being accounted for.
Interestingly enough Burks is the only rookie receiver with an available prop listed on BetMGM. To help put this bet in perspective, other pass catchers with a 799.5-yard valuation are Michael Thomas, Elijah Moore, Adam Thielen, Brandon Aiyuk, and even George Kittle.
Fellow Titans receiver Robert Woods is not yet listed on the site.
There is no question that Burks is in good company. Offseason issues aside, Burks was drafted to be the Titans’ No. 1 option in the passing game for quarterback Ryan Tannehill.
If Burks can show significant progress in training camp, the upside is obvious. He will have more than enough opportunities in an offense featuring an entirely new receiving corps to hit that magic number of 800 receiving yards.
Proceed With Caution
On the flip side, now might not be the best time to lock this prop bet in. Bettors should wait until they actually see Burks executing a steady workload in training camp, which kicks off in Tennessee on July 26th.
Did not see Treylon Burks on the final day of #Titans minicamp (again)— Buck Reising (@BuckReising) June 15, 2022
In order to cash the over, Burks will need to average 47 receiving yards per game. Sounds easy, right? Don’t forget that Tannehill and the offense will have a healthy Derrick Henry in the backfield, which will limit the team’s volume in the passing game.
I believe that Las Vegas is currently giving a fair number, but if Burks can stay on the field in training camp and build a rapport with Tannehill, this bet will look increasingly more valuable. For now I urge bettors to stay away until we see Burks make strides in the conditioning department.
Featured image via George Walker IV/Tennessean.com/USA TODAY NETWORK