2026 season · Week 9
NFL Playoff Predictor
Updated Mon, Nov 9 · Based on 10,000 simulated seasons
The A to Z Sports NFL Playoff Predictor gives the Jacksonville Jaguars the best chance to make the 2026 NFL playoffs (98%), followed by the Bills (97%), the 49ers (95%), the Broncos (94%), the Bengals (94%) and the Chiefs (92%). The most likely Super Bowl LXI winner is the Jacksonville Jaguars at 14%, ahead of the Bills (13%) and the 49ers (12%). Odds from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with the NFL's official tiebreakers and playoff format (updated Mon, Nov 9, results through Week 8).
| Team | Record | Division | Make playoffs | Win division | Win Super Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-2 | AFC South | 98% | 93% | 14% |
| Buffalo Bills | 6-1 | AFC East | 97% | 87% | 13% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7-1 | NFC West | 95% | 85% | 12% |
| Denver Broncos | 7-2 | AFC West | 94% | 57% | 6% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-2 | AFC North | 94% | 64% | 8% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6-2 | AFC West | 92% | 41% | 7% |
| Chicago Bears | 7-2 | NFC North | 84% | 28% | 8% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6-1 | NFC North | 83% | 32% | 6% |
| Detroit Lions | 6-2 | NFC North | 81% | 30% | 6% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-2 | AFC North | 80% | 31% | 3% |
| Green Bay Packers | 6-3 | NFC North | 63% | 10% | 3% |
| New England Patriots | 5-4 | AFC East | 62% | 13% | 2% |
| New York Giants | 5-2-1 | NFC East | 61% | 59% | 1% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5-4 | NFC West | 47% | 10% | 4% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5-4 | NFC West | 40% | 6% | 3% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3-6 | NFC South | 38% | 38% | 1% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4-5 | NFC East | 35% | 33% | 1% |
| Houston Texans | 3-5 | AFC South | 34% | 7% | 2% |
| Carolina Panthers | 3-5 | NFC South | 28% | 27% | 1% |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-4 | AFC North | 21% | 3% | <1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3-6 | NFC South | 19% | 18% | <1% |
| New Orleans Saints | 3-5 | NFC South | 17% | 17% | <1% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 4-5 | AFC North | 14% | 1% | <1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4-5 | AFC West | 12% | 1% | <1% |
| Washington Commanders | 2-5-1 | NFC East | 7% | 7% | <1% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2-7 | NFC East | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-7 | AFC South | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3-6 | NFC West | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| New York Jets | 2-7 | AFC East | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Miami Dolphins | 1-7 | AFC East | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Tennessee Titans | 1-7 | AFC South | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0-8 | AFC West | <1% | <1% | <1% |