Super Bowl LIX primer and final predictions: What you need to know | A to Z Sports NFL Newsletter

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Super Bowl LIX primer

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Everything you need to know about Super Bowl LIX

Super Bowl 59 is finally here. Below are some important details and a few notable stories heading into the game.

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (AFC 1 seed) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NFC 2 seed)
Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
Time: 5:30 p.m. CT
Network/streaming: FOX, Tubi; Fox Deportes, Telemundo (Spanish broadcasts)
Broadcasters: Kevin Burkhardt, Tom Brady
Referee: Ron Torbert
Spread: Chiefs are 1 to 1.5-point favorites
Weather: N/A; Domed stadium with synthetic turf
Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar

Chiefs-Eagles history: Kansas City and Philly haven’t faced each other often — just 11 times since 1972. The Chiefs lead the all-time series 6-5, including a Super Bowl LVII win 38-35 just two years ago. The two teams faced again just nine months later in the regular season, and the Eagles got the best of K.C. by winning 21-17, which was the last matchup between these two.

Wednesday’s injury report looks good for both teams: The Chiefs’ injury report couldn’t look better with only three names on the report. The only limited participant for K.C. on Wednesday was receiver Skyy Moore who is on injured reserve. It’s unlikely he’ll be active for the game regardless. The Eagles’ injury report is a bit more lengthy with four names listed as limited, but it seems unlikely that any of those players will miss the game.

Except, keep an eye on Jalen Carter… The only name that’s probably worth monitoring is Eagles defensive lineman Jalen Carter, who was hit with an undisclosed illness this week. Luckily, he still has a few days to rest up so he’ll probably be ready for the game unless there’s a setback.

Madden simulations and sportsbooks favor Chiefs: Our guys at A to Z ran 50 different Madden simulations for the game, and the average result came out to be a Chiefs win with a score around 21-17. Meanwhile, sportsbooks favor a K.C. victory with around a 54 percent win probability, hence why the Chiefs are 1 to 1.5-point favorites.

Refs, Roger Goodell deny Chiefs favoritism: Both the NFL Referees Association and the league commissioner adamantly denied any alleged favoritism toward the Chiefs. NFLRA executive director Scott Green called the theory “insulting and preposterous,” while Goodell said it was “ridiculous.”

Penalty trends for both teams: On that note, our guy Charles Goldman broke down the penalty trends for Philly and K.C. this season. Among other trends, he found the numbers were similar regarding offensive holding, while the Eagles benefitted from the league’s second-most unnecessary roughness calls against their opponents.

President Trump to attend: President Donald Trump will make history as the first sitting president to attend the Super Bowl. Trump hasn’t locked in an official pick, though he did hint at a Chiefs win.


Super Bowl LIX picks from A to Z Sports staff

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) scores a touchdown on a quarterback sneak against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first quarter in Super Bowl LVII at State Farm Stadium in Glendale on Feb. 12, 2023.
© Patrick Breen/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

17 of our A to Z Sports staff members locked in their picks for Super Bowl 59. Below we’ll highlight a handful of picks, starting with Nick Roesch who has provided picks for us all season.

Nick Roesch: Chiefs 38, Eagles 28

Last time these two teams met in the Super Bowl, quarterback Jalen Hurts had the game of his life, and the Eagles still lost. Sure, they have Saquon Barkley this time around, but the Chiefs have locked down the running back position all year long. Barkley will rip off a few impressive runs, but he won’t dominate the game.

Kansas City’s offense is usually its biggest enemy. If it can limit the turnovers and penalties, it will move the ball and put up points. The Chiefs had their best offensive performance of the season in last week’s AFC Championship Game, and I expect them to carry that momentum over against Philadelphia. With a three-peat on the line, the stakes are too high for the Chiefs to not get the job done.

Kelsey Kramer: Eagles 34, Chiefs 31

Betting against the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes sounds like a terrible idea if you haven't been watching the Philadelphia Eagles play all season long. If you have, however, then you know exactly what this "underdog" Eagles team is capable, and that's winning.

It may not be perfect and it may not be pretty but we'll see every single player on Philly's roster throw their body on the line for a big play, starting with the Eagles' offensive line and star rusher Saquon Barkley. And don't get me started on the Eagles defense that is very young yet nearly flawless. The Eagles will wreck Mahomes' three-peat Super Bowl dream. And it will be another "he's not real" game for Barkley, who will also walk away crowned SBLIX MVP.

Charles Goldman: Chiefs 41, Eagles 21

If you look at Kansas City’s game plan in the AFC Championship Game against the Bills, they looked to exploit weaknesses they found on film, and they accomplished just that with the counter-read-option. We’ve seen Kansas City do the same to Philadelphia in Super Bowl LVII with “corn dog.”

I do not doubt they will find something to cling to and exploit in this game, especially when the Eagles had some notable early-season struggles. The question will be whether Philly has the discipline this time around to self-scout and break tendencies. Ultimately, the Chiefs didn’t come this far, just to get this far. I fully expect this to be one of their best games all season, with elite execution and play-calling in all three phases.

Jon Helmkamp: Eagles 28, Chiefs 27

The Buffalo Bills took the Chiefs down to the very end, fighting their way to a narrow loss to the Chiefs yet again. Josh Allen had the ball with three and a half minutes left and a chance to win, and it didn’t happen. There are a couple things the Eagles have going for them that the Bills didn’t. Their defensive front is absolutely elite, with Josh Sweat, Jalen Carter, and Nolan Smith capable of wreaking havoc. Their linebackers are fast and instinctive, and their secondary, with two breakout rookies in Cooper DeJean and Quinyon Mitchell, will have the defense in a great position to handle the Chiefs.

The offense is no slouch either. Saquon Barkley and the run game are as lethal as it gets, and with James Cook putting up over 130 scrimmage yards in the AFC Championship Game, Barkley should be primed to be able to keep his hot streak going. The Eagles have a roster that can do it. Whether or not they can get past a team that simply has the winning gene is a different story.

Travis May: Chiefs 24, Eagles 23

The Chiefs have continually found a way to win this season and that won't change with a shot at a three-peat on the line. The Chiefs' bend-don't-break defense that brings plenty of creative pressure on opposing quarterbacks will do just enough to stifle the efficiency of the Eagles' prolific offense full of studs like AJ Brown and Saquon Barkley. Patrick Mahomes will find his emerging star rookie wide receiver Xavier Worthy in a pivotal moment to win Super Bowl LIX 24-23 in spectacular fashion. Xavier Worthy wins Super Bowl LIX MVP as he extends his streak of games with 5+ receptions to eight in a row.

Overall, 14 of the 17 picks were in favor of the Chiefs. My personal pick? The Chiefs, of course, by a 31-24 score.


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