Packers bye week fan guide: hypotheticals, challenges, and what’s next for Week 10
The Green Bay Packers don't play this weekend because it's their bye week in the NFL. Therefore, fans will have a free Sunday to watch every other game around the league. Nine of them have some level of implication in the Packers playoff chances, according to The New York Times metrics. Right now, the Packers […]
The Green Bay Packers don't play this weekend because it's their bye week in the NFL. Therefore, fans will have a free Sunday to watch every other game around the league.
Nine of them have some level of implication in the Packers playoff chances, according to The New York Times metrics.
Right now, the Packers have a 69% chance of making the postseason — 65% as a wild card team. So, let's evaluate the situation game by game.
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
- If Patriots win: 71%
- If Bears win: 69%
A Chicago Bears loss in the first Caleb Williams-Drake Maye matchup in the NFL would help because it puts the divisional rival further away in the wild card race. At the moment, the Bears are 4-4 (1.5 games behind Green Bay).
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
- If Saints win: 70%
- If Falcons win: 69%
The Saints are 2-7, so they don't have realistic chances to go to the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Falcons are 6-3. At this point, Atlanta is favored to win the NFC South, as they are two games ahead of the Bucs, so the impact might be limited. But still, a Saints win would be helpful in the case the Falcons end up going to the wild card race.
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- If 49ers win: 70%
- If Buccaneers win: 67%
This one is curious because the 49ers are 4-4 and the Bucs are 4-5, so it's harder to understand why a 49ers win would be more helpful. The explanation is that San Francisco has a higher chance of winning its own division, since the NFC West leaders Arizona Cardinals are 5-4. So the Bucs have a higher probability of Fighting against the Packers for a wild card spot.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Commanders
- If Steelers win: 70%
- If Commanders win: 69%
The Commanders are leading the NFC East, but they are only half a game ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles, so a wild card spot would still be in play.
Minnesota Vikings at Jacksonville Jaguars
- If Jaguars win: 70%
- If Vikings win: 69%
The Vikings fight with the Packers twice. For the less-likely scenario to win the NFC North, but mainly for a wild card spot. Right now, Minnesota is 6-2, half game ahead of the Packers. If the Vikings surprisingly lose to Mac Jones and the Jaguars, they will stay with the same record as Green Bay.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
- If Eagles win: 70%
- If Cowboys win: 68%
The idea here is that the Eagles have already beaten the Packers, so for Green Bay it's better if Philly wins the NFC East, avoiding an unfavorable tie-breaking scenario.
New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals
- If Jets win: 71%
- If Cardinals win: 68%
The Packers won against the Cardinals, so it's better if they go to the wild card race than a team like the 49ers, who will still face Green Bay in the regular season. It's time to root for Aaron Rodgers once again.
Detroit Lions at Houston Texans
- If Texans win: 70%
- If Lions win: 69%
This doesn't make that much of a difference because the Lions are heavily favored to win the NFC North anyway. But as it's a game against an AFC team that the Packers have already beaten, there's some impact here.
Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams
- If Dolphins win: 71%
- If Rams win: 69%
The Rams are 4-4, so they are very much in the hunt for an NFC wild card spot. The Packers will also face the Dolphins down the road, which can create another tie-breaking layer if necessary.
10 post-trade deadline options for the Packers to reinforce the roster
Green Bay has a solid track record of adding players in creative ways