Ryan Tannehill's projected interceptions for 2022 have been released
The football world’s last look at Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill was not a flattering one. Turnovers plagued the Titans’ signal caller at inopportune times last year. One sportsbook has released early projections that imply Tannehill’s turnover issues will carry into his 2022 campaign. BetMGM released regular season interceptions props for most of the NFL’s starting […]
The football world’s last look at Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill was not a flattering one. Turnovers plagued the Titans’ signal caller at inopportune times last year. One sportsbook has released early projections that imply Tannehill’s turnover issues will carry into his 2022 campaign.
BetMGM released regular season interceptions props for most of the NFL’s starting quarterbacks. Interestingly enough, Tannehill’s total for interceptions thrown is listed at 12.5. Other quarterbacks also listed at 12.5 picks are Derek Carr, Joe Burrow, Kyler Murray, Mac Jones, Tua Tagovailoa, and Tom Brady.
The majority of those quarterbacks play in pass-heavy offenses, where a high volume is almost guaranteed to translate to added interceptions.
In his first two seasons with Tennessee, Tannehill’s biggest strength as a quarterback was taking care of the football. In 26 games under center for the Titans, Tannehill threw just 13 interceptions. He was building a case to be a top 10 passer in the league.
All of that changed over the course of last season.
Tannehill threw 21 touchdowns and 14 interceptions as he struggled to produce with Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, and Julio Jones constantly absent from the lineup. Whether Titans fans will admit it or not, there was some expected regression after a marvelous 26 games to begin his tenure with the team.
Though Tannehill’s interceptions number was high last year, he threw multiple interceptions in just three regular season games. He tossed two picks in each game against the Colts and four in a disastrous performance at home against the Texans.
What many are struggling to realize is that Tannehill did not throw a single interception in EIGHT GAMES last year. More often than not, Tannehill was taking care of the football, but backbreaking divisional games tilted the scales against him.
Excluding last year, the last time Tannehill threw 13+ interceptions in a single season was all the way back in 2013 during his second year with the Miami Dolphins. Recency bias has slipped through into the oddsmakers’ room, which creates a buy low opportunity for bettors looking to play under the number.
The Titans reshuffled their group of pass catchers over the offseason. Tennessee traded for WR Robert Woods, signed TE Austin Hooper in free agency, and drafted WRs Treylon Burks and Kyle Philips.
Though chemistry is still being built, Woods and Hooper have been reliable players throughout their respective careers. Keep in mind that the addition of passing game coordinator Tim Kelly will only benefit Tannehill as he continues to develop a rapport with these newcomers.
The return of Henry will play a factor into this particular prop bet. With a healthy Henry flanking Tannehill, defensive coordinators will focus on stopping the run. Not only will Henry’s workload limit Tannehill’s volume, but it should make life on the quarterback much easier.
Personally, I believe under is the best play here. The addition of Hooper has been overlooked nationally, but Titans fans know how important a productive tight end is for Tannehill. Couple that with a healthy Henry and I’m confident we have ourselves a winning bet.
Featured image via Steve Roberts – USA TODAY Sports
