Buccaneers favored to draft Bijan Robinson in 2023 NFL Draft

It wouldn't be draft season without someone predicting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers selecting a running back in the first round of the NFL Draft. Breece Hall, Najee Harris, Jonathan Taylor, the list goes on, and it repeats every year. The run game with the Buccaneers has been terrible in every situation where the back was […]

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Mar 1, 2022; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers general manager Jason Licht during the NFL Combine at the Indiana Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

It wouldn't be draft season without someone predicting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers selecting a running back in the first round of the NFL Draft.

Breece Hall, Najee Harris, Jonathan Taylor, the list goes on, and it repeats every year.

The run game with the Buccaneers has been terrible in every situation where the back was mentioned, but the above backs with a first-round pick wouldn't save this rushing attack, and the same can be said for this year and Bijan Robinson.

It was only a matter of time. Robinson and the Bucs just make too much sense (without making actual sense) on paper.

The Buccaneers had one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL last season. Robinson is one of the best RB prospects in years. A draft pick near the middle of the first round should be enough….

This is all a perfect storm for a big mistake, yet the Buccaneers are still favored to select Robinson in the first round by Adam Thompson of Bookies.com.

This is bad news for Tampa Bay.

The vast majority of modern evidence on the subject SCREAMS that teams should avoid the position like the plague with valuable picks in the first and second rounds.

The Cowboys stifled their growth by paying a talented Ezekiel Elliott. The Colts are still picking early despite having one of the best running backs in the league. Najee Harris is looking like a miss. What has Clyde Edwards-Helaire done recently with volume?

Even Derrick Henry's job is in danger and he is almost always the exception to any running back-related rule.

First-round and other high-pick running backs often turn into good running backs, but this also leads to well-paid running backs, and that is often the kiss of death for a franchise that wants to take steps forward.

When you add in injuries and the proven evidence that scheme matters much more than individual talent anyways, the value of the position in round one (and two) plummets.

Again, Bijan Robinson will probably be a good NFL running back, but that alone isn't enough to overcome a bad scheme and the cap constraints that come from having a good running back.

It may be brutal, but teams are far better off letting their talented backs sink other teams by taking money out of the pockets of quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tackles.

The Buccaneers can't make this mistake with Bijan Robinson. There are just too many other areas of need on the roster; starting with safety and corner.