Todd McShay recently released his latest mock draft.

In this one, McShay has the Jaguars selecting Notre Dame tight end, Michael Mayer.

This is interesting for a couple of reasons.

One being the decision to franchise tag Evan Engram. Engram had a career year this past season, putting up career-highs in both receptions and yards. 

McShay cites that Mayer could be a reliable target for QB Trevor Lawrence on third downs and in the red-zone as well; not to mention Mayer's role expanding once Engram's tenure in Jacksonville is done.  

In the red zone last year, Lawrence was 41-82, 50% completion, with 19 touchdowns and three interceptions. When he was inside the ten-yard line he was 20-36, 55.56% completion, with 15 touchdowns and two interceptions. 

The Jaguars actually progressed as the season went on in the red zone. Surely adding another weapon to that is not a bad thing.

I don't believe it can hurt, but when you look at the NFL Draft's history with rookie tight ends, it leaves you with valid reasons to be concerned.

Kyle Pitts is the only tight end in this century to record 1,000 receiving yards as a rookie. The last one to do it before him was Mike Ditka, back in 1961. The next three closest didn't amass more than 900 yards. 

Kyle Pitts was viewed by many as a generational talent at tight end and he didn't even come in and have the season many were expecting.

Taking Mayer could be risky for the Jaguars, depending on how they view him. If they just need him to come in and have a similar performance to what Engram did last year, they should be more than fine. If they're expecting him to unlock a new dimension in their offense, that is where they could get into trouble.