ESPN’s Mike Clay projects the 2026 Tennessee Titans offense to gain 956 more yards than it did a year ago. An extra 56 total offensive yards per game would be a tremendous upgrade and put this team on the right track.

We’ve discussed Cam Ward’s passing stat projections and how the receiving yards will be distributed (which is a difficult math equation).

Now it’s time to complete the game Easton Freeze and I have been playing for these Titans offensive projections: OVER, UNDER, or “just right”.

Tennessee Titans running back 2026 stat projections

Tony Pollard: 1,076 yards, 6 TDs

STANLEY: I think Tony Pollard is one of the most undervalued and wrongly dismissed players on the entire Titans roster. The guy has done nothing but grit his way through two 1,000 yard seasons in awful offenses on teams that combine for six total wins.

And people say he’s washed? No. Tony still has it. His burst in the back half of 2025, looked to me like the entire team got the run game together and he finally relaxed. Early in the season I felt Pollard was pressing thinking he had to do it all on every play.

I expect a clearer offense all together, however, I don’t think Pollard crosses the 230 carry mark in 2026 with the RB room more deeply talented than a year ago.

Projection take: UNDER rushing yards, “just right” TDs

FREEZE: There hasn’t been a more consistent running back in the league the past four years than Tony Pollard. He has put up within 75 yards of his typical yardage every single year, and outside of a 9touchdown season in 2022, he routinely puts up 5 or 6 touchdowns a season. So this projection from Mike Clay is an unsurprising one.

That being said, I think I’ll take the under on his total yards. Pollard has proven he can be a bell cow when needed. But I think it’s easy to lose sight of the fact that in the past two seasons, he’s been leaned on more heavily than the initial plan meant for him to be.

His production has and will continue to be directly tied to how available Tyjae Spears is. Add in the fact that the Titans have gotten a little bit deeper behind the top two running backs in this room, and I think Pollard comes up just shy of the 1000 yard mark this time around.

He’ll still lead the room in production if he stays healthy, but it won’t quite be the volume he’s done in the past. Perhaps that means he sees uptick in efficiency.

Projection take: UNDER rushing yards, “just right” TDs

Tyjae Spears: 411 yards, 3 TDs

STANLEY: This projection from Spears is right at what his career per game average would be if he played all 17 games. I don’t see that happening, unfortunately.

I like Tyjae a lot, and I feel like he gets dealt the offensive touches with the highest difficulty level. How else can you explain that he led the NFL in forced missed tackles after a reception a year ago?

It’s like the video game difficulty gets amped up to whatever is above All-Madden when Spears gets the ball.

Projection take: UNDER yards, “just right” TDs

FREEZE: After a healthy and promising rookie year, Spears has dealt with two seasons of annoying injuries. It’s been enough for us all to pencil him in for free agency at the end of his rookie contract. He’d have to do quite a bit to be a second contract guy in Tennessee, or at least it seems that way.

He’s a dual threat on the ground and through the air, and that’s why I think he’s always going to be an attractive change-of-pace back in a starting rotation when healthy. If he managed a healthy season this fall, I could see him getting well past this number. But I have no reason to expect such a thing. So I’ll say this number is just right.

Projection take: “Just Right”

Nick Singleton: 83 yards, 1 TD

STANLEY: I know Easton and I are in lockstep on this one. Singleton can be a big play waiting to happen and a touchdown machine. His opportunities, we think, are largely connected to how competitive the team is playing deeper into the season. Easton has more on that below.

Last season, however, Julius Chestnut only got eleven whopping carries as the third running back even with Spears missing a chunk of games. Clay has Singleton projected to get 20, who I think has a much larger upside than Chestnut (no offense).

I’m going easy over on the rushing yards. I said in our YouTube video above that Singleton’s five best carries could total the 83 yards alone. Then the other carries could be average or below average. Who knows? We’ll have to see how his (troubling) vision and (positive) pass protecting translates to the NFL game.

Projection take: OVER rushing yards

FREEZE: How big a role can the newest Titans running back play in his rookie season? I’d feel more comfortable answering that question if he hadn’t broken his foot at the Senior Bowl in January.

He’s still working to come back fully from that, and the expectation is for him to be available this season. But how much of the ramp-up to the year does he miss? And how long will it take him once he’s back to full contact before he feels 100% like himself?

Because of this unknown, I’m going to take the over on his projection, but not very confidently. As much as I’d like to assume he passes this pretty comfortably, looking back at last season‘s RB3 usage behind Pollard and Spears makes me wonder if this is actually pretty accurate.

The honest reality is that if the Titans are out of the playoff race by Thanksgiving, he’s almost certainly going to smash this number. The top two running backs on this roster are both on expiring deals, so it’ll be exploratory o’clock for players exactly like Singleton to finish the year. But if they find themselves still lurking around the “In The Hunt” graphics during the holidays, I could see him having this little of an impact.

Projection take: OVER rushing yards