Top NFL Draft analyst shares harsh Quinn Ewers reality as he likely leaves Texas Longhorns for the pros
The Texas Longhorns 2024 college football season came to an unceremonious end via their 28-14 loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes in the College Football Playoff semifinals on Friday. This likely marks the beginning of the Arch Manning era. But what about Quinn Ewers?Steve Sarkisian stuck with Ewers throughout the entire season, but it's obviously […]
The Texas Longhorns 2024 college football season came to an unceremonious end via their 28-14 loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes in the College Football Playoff semifinals on Friday. This likely marks the beginning of the Arch Manning era. But what about Quinn Ewers?
Steve Sarkisian stuck with Ewers throughout the entire season, but it's obviously time to move on for all parties involved. When asked about his future late last week, Ewers made it rather clear where he intends to go here soon–the 2025 NFL Draft.
Ewers is among several top tier Texas Longhorns talents who have just a handful of days remaining to declare for the 2025 NFL Draft (or hop into the Transfer Portal). Kelvin Banks Jr. (left tackle) and Jaydon Blue (running back) both already announced they're headed to the NFL over the weekend. However, as of this writing, Quinn Ewers has not made his move to the NFL official. It's expected that he will. But should he?
There have been unsubstantiated reports that Ewers was offered $6 million dollars to transfer to an unnamed college football program. So, monetarily there seems to be quite the incentive to return to (some lucky) school. While that number may be a bit high, there's certainly money awaiting Ewers should he choose to transfer instead of declaring for the NFL Draft.
And then there's the fact to consider that many NFL Draft analysts are split on Ewers' future in the league. In fact, top NFL Draft analyst Todd McShay shared a fairly harsh reality that Quinn Ewers may have to face here very soon this week on his podcast, as you can see in the YouTube Short below:
"I don't know that another year of Quinn Ewers is necessarily going to change him like I think it could elevate a Carson Beck, Garrett Nussmeier, if I'm being totally honest. I think there's a difference. But I also think we didn't see the best of Quinn Ewers this year. Whether it was the oblique injury, the ankle injury at times, the pressure of playing at Texas which is a lot more overwhelming than people think…When I talk to NFL teams–and I've gotten this solicited and unsolicited–when I'm talking to guys in the league, landslide, [they say Quinn Ewers] needs to grad transfer."
McShay is one of the most well-sourced journalists who cover the NFL Draft process. He isn't lying about this with Quinn Ewers. League sources who have spoken with A to Z Sports have said the same thing. He needs to grad transfer, potentially rehabbing his NFL Draft stock for 2026. If he doesn't? Ewers might fall far enough in the draft that he would make more money by just returning to school.
All of the predictive metrics agree that this is the case as well.
Quinn Ewers finished the regular season ranked 26th in QBR, 35th in yards per play, 31st in EPA per play, 20th in passer rating, and 26th in adjusted yards per pass attempt among power conference quarterbacks. That is not the profile of a quarterback who is going to be selected very early at all in the NFL Draft.
If Ewers returns there are likely quite literally millions of dollars on the table to be had for him. Former Georgia quarterback Carson Beck just reportedly made a deal with Miami (FL) for around $4 million dollars. Ewers could (or possibly should) be able to land even more given how few transfer quarterback options remain in college football.
Whether Ewers wants to believe the harsh reality that Todd McShay laid out for him or not, the best decision would be to go back to school. He we will not likely be an early selection in the 2025 NFL Draft given what league sources and large sample mock draft data are telling us right now. Unfortunately, Steve Sarkisian and Arch Manning will likely be forcing Ewers to play elsewhere if he does change his mind, returning to school for one more year.
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