Packers' free agent watch list: Who stays and who goes away
Over the last few days, A to Z Sports has done a series of posts about the Green Bay Packers players slated to hit the free agent market. Here, we compile the content and make predictions on who stays and who goes away from the Packers. If you want to read the full article about […]
Over the last few days, A to Z Sports has done a series of posts about the Green Bay Packers players slated to hit the free agent market. Here, we compile the content and make predictions on who stays and who goes away from the Packers.
If you want to read the full article about each player, click on his name below.
Unrestricted free agents
RB AJ Dillon
The running back will test the market and see if he can get more than what his projection is. If he can, it's probably from a team willing to give him the starting job. And if not, it might make sense for the Packers to re-sign a player who knows Matt LaFleur's system, the organization, and his teammates.
Prediction: Goes away
CB/KR Keisean Nixon
Keisean Nixon is a pretty important player, and he's had momentum-altering plays over his two years in Green Bay. Ideally, the Packers will improve at slot corner, but his role as a rotational defender and as an elite special teamer can't be overstated. Sure enough, if a team comes with a monster offer, Green Bay won't have many options. But if the market is fair as it was last year, the Packers will most likely love to keep Nixon around.
Prediction: signs a medium-term extension
TE Josiah Deguara
Deguara was supposed to be the best h-back on the roster, but his role is too small, and the Packers will have Henry Pearson at a cheaper price to make the same things. At this point, it's hard to justify a spot for Deguara.
Prediction: goes away
TE Tyler Davis
The coaching staff's perception was that Davis would be a useful special teamer. But with all the successful moves the Packers made in 2023 to improve their tight end room, bottom of the roster veterans lost ground, and there's little reason to take snaps away from the younger pieces. But he can return as a training camp body to compete for a roster spot.
Prediction: re-signs for the veteran minimum
OG Jon Runyan
The Packers would probably love to bring Runyan back — if not as a starter, as a swing interior lineman. After all, he can play both guard spots and even practiced (and had three snaps this year) at center. The question now is the money. In free agency, Runyan will most likely find a team willing to pay him like a starter, and the Packers have no reason to do so.
Prediction: goes away
OT Yosh Nijman
Nijman alternated some games with Walker at LT and was the swing tackle after week 1, but it's hard to justify that high price for a backup lineman — especially considering how good the Packers have been to find o-line depth in the draft. In general, though, it's hard to find viable starting tackles, and now Yosh Nijman is unrestricted. So the most likely scenario is that he finds a team willing to give him a starting job — or at least compete for one — and pay him accordingly.
Prediction: goes away
S Darnell Savage
The hope for Savage is that he was much better with Mike Pettine. Maybe, new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley can ask Savage to do things he is actually good at — and he's not a traditional deep safety whatsoever. Perhaps, a low-priced Savage might make sense from a depth standpoint, but that wouldn't exactly reduce Green Bay's need for a safety.
Prediction: re-signs for a one-year, prove-it deal
S Rudy Ford
Ford became a backup and special teamer even before a season-ending hamstring injury. For the right price, he can absolutely be back — he didn't have as many special teams snaps as he was expected to, but he certainly can in the future, as that was his calling card when the Packers signed him for the first time in 2022.
Prediction: re-signs for the veteran minimum
S Jonathan Owens
The veteran allowed a 115.8 passer rating when targeted, with seven missed tackles. The Packers signed him because they needed an experienced starter on the roster after letting Adrian Amos walk in free agency, but if Owens himself signs elsewhere, it's not going to be hard to replace his production level.
Prediction: goes away
CB Corey Ballentine
Ballentine wasn't exactly bad, allowing a 81.3 passer rating when targeted, but he finished the season with an average 60.7 coverage grade by PFF. Maybe the Packers are interested in bringing him back for a low price, but hopefully he won't have such a big role in 2024.
Prediction: re-signs for the veteran minimum
LB Eric Wilson
Wilson has been a primary special teamer for the Packers since 2022 and also offers defensive depth. In each of the last two years, Wilson agreed to veteran minimum deals with the Packers. He will be 30 years old in September, and there's no reason not to bring him back if Green Bay can get a minimum deal once again.
Prediction: re-signs for the veteran minimum
LB Kristian Welch
It's still unclear how many special teamers the Packers will keep on the 53-man roster in 2023, but Welch deserves a chance to compete. If he's willing to come back on a short-term deal with no guarantees, he could certainly be in Green Bay for training camp — but it's not like the Packers will lose a lot if he goes elsewhere either.
Prediction: re-signs for the veteran minimum
Restricted free agents
RB Patrick Taylor
Taylor spent the start of the season on the practice squad, being elevated multiple times. Then, he was cut and brought back from the New England Patriots PS, finishing the season on the active roster. The Packers will most likely allow Taylor to hit the unrestricted market.
Prediction: goes away
CB Robert Rochell
He was mostly a special teamer during his time in Green Bay after being signed off the Carolina Panthers' practice squad. The Packers might not tender him because the price is too high, but he could still come back as an unrestricted free agent.
Prediction: doesn't get tendered, but re-signs for the veteran minimum
Exclusive-rights free agents
RB Emanuel Wilson
Running back Emanuel Wilson led the league in preseason rushing yards and finished the season as a running back three, behind Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon — with Dillon missing the last three games because of injury, Wilson was a de facto RB2 in the playoffs. It's a worthwhile developmental player.
Prediction: returns on an ERFA tender
OT Caleb Jones
Jones is a developmental tackle, and Brian Gutekunst decided to protect him on the 53-man roster during the season, even though he was inactive for most of the year and had just one special teams snap all season. With Nijman — and potentially David Bakhtiari — not coming back, Jones can be kept, and maybe with a bigger role.
Prediction: returns on an ERFA tender
P Daniel Whelan
Daniel Whelan was a decent punter throughout the season — an average starter. And this is a good return from a player so inexpensive. Maybe Green Bay wants to create a punter competition, but Whelan is good enough to keep the job under a low price tag.
Prediction: returns on an ERFA tender
Three ways for the Packers to keep Aaron Jones in 2024
Green Bay intends to keep the running back in 2024