Giants should temper expectations according to former NFL scout
One of the most popular selections in mock drafts and amongst the Giants faithful is the selection of a wide receiver in round one of the 2023 NFL Draft. With a little over two weeks until the New York Giants make their pick at 25th overall, the smoke screen that is draft season is starting […]
One of the most popular selections in mock drafts and amongst the Giants faithful is the selection of a wide receiver in round one of the 2023 NFL Draft.
With a little over two weeks until the New York Giants make their pick at 25th overall, the smoke screen that is draft season is starting to clear, and prominent media members are sharing intriguing insight.
Jim Nagy, the current Executive Director of the Reese's Senior Bowl and former NFL scout has shared a tidbit sure to leave some Giants fans upset.
First off, let's clear something up. The media is not keen on the actual draft boards that teams across the league are setting.
Without the player and medical access that is so crucial to the evaluation process, many in the media (myself included) purely evaluate and mock players based on tape study.
But so much more goes on behind the scenes when it comes to selecting players, especially ones that will be first-round picks.
Last years draft was a perfect example of this.
Leading into the draft, many mocks had multiple quarterbacks going in the first round, with some as high as the top five, even though the consensus was that the position lacked true first-round talent.
Reality?
The first quarterback to go off the board didn't happen until pick 20 when the Pittsburgh Steelers selected Kenny Pickett.
The next quarterback taken?
The third round.
So now that we have that cleared up, let's examine Nagy's tweet with more specificity.
Mock Draft Database currently has four wide receivers slated to go in the top 25 of the draft, including:
- Jaxson Smith Njigba (13)
- Quentin Johnston (17)
- Jordan Addison (20)
- Zay Flowers (25)
So while the consensus amongst the media is that four receivers go in round one, the NFL believes Jaxson Smith Njigba is the only one worth a true round grade.
Now, that's doesn't mean that JSN will be only the first-round receiver selected, and that's because of multiple reasons.
For one, the 2023 draft class is widely viewed as one of the more talent-deprived group of prospects in recent memory.
Talking to numerous evaluators and media members who have been doing this for some time, the amount of "blue chip" or franchise-elevating prospects are very low.
When you pair this with the modern NFL, and the need to have certainly not one or two but upwards of four competent pass catchers, the likelihood of only one wide receiver being selected in the first round is minimal.
Five or more wide receivers have gone in round one of the past three drafts, as teams continue to evolve their offensive philosophy.
To think the trend will be bucked this year may prove to be a fallacy, but when the NFL tells you what they think, it's wise to listen.