LSU comes in shockingly low in latest SEC projections heading into showdown with new favorite, Ole Miss

In a lopsided affair under the lights of Tiger Stadium, the No. 3-ranked LSU Tigers steamrolled their in-state rivals, the Southeastern Louisiana Lions, 56-10, on Saturday night to secure a commanding Week 4 triumph. Under head coach Brian Kelly’s steady guidance, the Tigers have surged to a flawless 4-0 record early in the 2025 campaign—the […]

Ian Valentino National College Football Writer
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In a lopsided affair under the lights of Tiger Stadium, the No. 3-ranked LSU Tigers steamrolled their in-state rivals, the Southeastern Louisiana Lions, 56-10, on Saturday night to secure a commanding Week 4 triumph. Under head coach Brian Kelly’s steady guidance, the Tigers have surged to a flawless 4-0 record early in the 2025 campaign—the program’s strongest opening since their unforgettable 2019 National Championship run.

With momentum building, LSU now turns its focus to a marquee showdown against Ole Miss, where the Tigers enter as betting favorites despite a recent shift in broader season forecasts.

That twist comes courtesy of one influential analytics model. Let’s take a look at which program moved up the most and why LSU has dropped even further.

LSU Nosedives in Latest SEC Projected Standings

Enter Kelley Ford’s freshly updated SEC power rankings, which spotlight the Bayou Bengals’ standing once more. So, where exactly do the purple and gold sit in this latest snapshot?

LSU is now sitting sixth, falling from fifth last week. In their place is Texas A&M, which is surging with some explosive offensive performances. And still ahead of LSU are Alabama, Texas, and Georgia. It’s stunning to see Alabama and Texas there, given how those two teams have been far from impressive as complete teams.

Most pressing for LSU, though, is how Ole Miss jumped from No. 3 to No. 1. Lane Kiffin is treating LSU as a heavyweight for good reason, but this one metric shows otherwise. Ole Miss has the best chance in the conference to reach five, six, and seven wins. Somehow, Alabama has the best odds of reaching eight SEC wins.

LSU has been given only 1% of winning eight games, 6% of seven, 24% of six, 55% of five, and 84% of four. They’re one of six teams with at least one win already, whereas Alabama, Texas, Texas A&M, and Tennessee are among those without a conference win.