The case for why Texas will beat Ohio State in Week 2
The blueprint is there for Arch Manning and the Longhorns to get some payback from 2025.
Week 2 of the college football season delivers one of the best matchups of the entire year. Ohio State and Texas both have legitimate chances to win a national championship, and both teams desperately want this win to build their resumes and confidence before facing two of the hardest schedules in college football.
This game comes down to the quarterbacks
Plain and simple, no matter how we cut this game, it’s going to come down to which quarterback plays better. Last season, the matchup between Julian Sayin and Arch Manning was defined by both quarterbacks posting their first starts. Defense dominated. Sayin barely outplayed Manning, who looked like he was overthinking every single throw.
The difference now is that Manning is playing much freer, and that is the key piece for Texas to win this game. It’s not as open-ended and vague as “Arch Manning looks better.” It’s more specific than that.
Manning has been far more willing to utilize his legs to create opportunities for himself and his offense when the read simply isn’t there. Last year, when they played, he had only 10 carries for 38 yards. He was completely bottled up. Part of the reason he averaged only 3.8 yards per carry is that he held the ball too long and decided to break out of the pocket too late.
We saw against Texas A&M and Michigan at the very end of last year that Manning was willing to play freely and be one of the best athletes on the field. He ran for 53 yards and seven carries against Texas A&M, and 155 on nine carries against Michigan. That version of Manning changes everything for the Longhorns’ offense.
Manning is ready for a signature win
Arch Manning is poised to put up a phenomenal performance on Saturday. Sayin will likely play well too, but the slight edge goes to Texas because Manning is finally ready to have that signature win. The growth he’s shown as a runner and an improviser gives the Longhorns a dimension Ohio State has to account for, and it opens up the entire offense in a way it couldn’t operate last season.
If Manning continues to play with the freedom and confidence he displayed late last year, he can help Texas build toward an SEC championship — and Saturday is exactly the kind of game that defines whether a quarterback is ready to take that next step.

