AFC road to the Super Bowl could run through the funniest stadium in the league, because the underrated Jacksonville Jaguars are for real

We spent the offseason doubting Jacksonville. Four weeks in, and the numbers behind Trevor Lawrence and Liam Coen are getting harder to ignore.

Add as preferred source on Google
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) drops back to throw in the first quarter of the NFL Week 4 game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Jacksonville Jaguars at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati on Sunday, Oct. 4, 2026.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are for real, and after Week 4, I’m not so sure anybody in the AFC is definitively better than them. Sunday’s win over the Cincinnati Bengals was the latest proof that this Jaguars team, led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence and head coach Liam Coen, belongs in the Super Bowl conversation.

This bit is equal parts funny and real: What if the road through the AFC runs through EverBank Stadium, which is limited to 40,000 fans right now because of renovations? Picture the biggest playoff games of the year being played in front of hilariously small crowds.

The Jaguars are converting believers after Week 4

Freeze- I am a full-blown, 100% believer in what Jacksonville is building. We’ve talked about it on the show a couple of times at this point, and every day I wake up and kick myself for not believing in this team in the offseason. I think a lot of us were accidentally punishing the Jaguars for being too well-rounded. Are they proven elite yet at any one specific thing? No. But where is their big weakness? I don’t see one!

Lawrence is playing at a pretty elite level. He’s seeing the field as clearly as he ever has in his NFL career, and he’s playing with as much confidence as he ever has. Coen’s offensive design could be proven elite with a little more time, too.

Jacksonville runs the ball at an efficient clip out of an unusual committee approach, stops the run, and has a really good kicker. Put simply, there’s no glaring hole on this roster. As long as Lawrence keeps playing the way he did over the back half of last season and the start of this one, this is a great football team.

The win over the Bengals was actually lower scoring than I expected, and that tells you something too. This team doesn’t need a shootout to win. Through four games, the Jaguars have scored 104 points and allowed 53. They are humming on all cylinders.

The numbers say it’s time to respect Lawrence and Coen

One stat shared on our show deserves more attention than it’s getting. Over his last 13 games (not including Sunday’s win) Lawrence has thrown for 3,000 yards and 32 touchdowns against just seven interceptions. That’s MVP-caliber production.

Meanwhile, Coen is now 16-5 in his first 21 games as an NFL head coach once you count Sunday. So when do we start respecting these guys? I’d argue that time is right now. If the Jaguars keep this up, Coen is the name we’ll be talking about for Coach of the Year.

How the schedule and London could help Jacksonville

The schedule is the biggest thing working against the Jaguars, at least on paper. They play two games in London, their home away from home, which leaves them with only six home games. But you could argue that’s an advantage right now. Jacksonville might have a better home-field advantage overseas than it does in a stadium with limited capacity.

This next stretch is worth watching. The Jaguars face the Philadelphia Eagles overseas in Week 5, then get the 0-4 Houston Texans and the 2-2 Indianapolis Colts over the following two weeks.

The bottom line is that I think the Jaguars are already the runaway favorites in the AFC South through four games. I could see a world in which they’re the AFC’s No. 1 seed. If that happens, a lot of us are going to have to own up to how badly we read this team in the offseason, and I’ll be the first in line.

Play A to Z Daily Games