Earlier on Wednesday, we talked about all of the things that the Detroit Lions’ defense needs to do to win the Super Bowl in 2026 by adding up the last eight Super Bowl-winning defenses and averaging out their numbers to see what they have to do statistically.

Defense is big, but I wanted to switch over to offense, where many oddly believe the Lions are being held back by Jared Goff. So we’re going to ruin that same experiment with the last 8 Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks. Here’s what we found.

Jared Goff vs the last 8 Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks

Note: If you’re using mobile, you can slide the table over with your finger to see all the data

Year	QB	Team	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INTs	Comp Pct	Passer Rating	Fumbles	Sacks
2018	Tom Brady	Patriots	4355	29	11	65.8	97.7	3	21
2019	Patrick Mahomes	Chiefs	4740	26	5	66	105.3	3	17
2020	Patrick Mahomes	Chiefs	4741	38	6	66.3	108.2	4	22
2021	Matthew Stafford	Rams	4886	41	17	67.2	102.9	8	30
2022	Patrick Mahomes	Chiefs	5250	41	12	67.1	105.2	5	26
2023	Patrick Mahomes	Chiefs	4183	27	14	67.2	92.6	6	27
2024	Jalen Hurts	Eagles	3858	23	15	65.4	89.1	9	38
2025	Sam Darnold	Seahawks	4320	31	10	67	100.4	5	24

Alright, now let’s average it out and see what Jared Goff would have to do in 2026 to be a Super Bowl-winning quarterback.

Stat	Goff 2026
Passing Yards	4,541
Passin TDs	32
INTs	11
Comp Pct	66.5
Passer Rating	100.1
Fumbles	5
Sacks	26

Yeah, man, that’s not a lot. That’s actually extremely doable for Goff. He’s been basically doing this every single year. Look at his 2025 numbers compared to this. And these are with a young, beat-up offensive line and a bad offensive coordinator.

Stat	Goff 2026	Goff 2025
Passing Yards	4,541	4,564
Passin TDs	32	34
INTs	11	8
Comp Pct	66.5	68
Passer Rating	100.1	105.5
Fumbles	5	6
Sacks	26	38

The clear needed fix here is to not get sacked as much. I’d argue that while 38 looks really bad, and it is, but 22 of those 38 sacks came in just five games. The rest of the year wasn’t too bad, and now the Lions have a much better offensive line. I’m not totally sure 26 is achievable in 2026. But it’s not impossible.

Ok, I know what the next move is going to be. “But Goff is not mobile. He can’t run the ball.” The average rushing yards and rushing touchdowns Goff would have to hit are 277 yards and three touchdowns. Goff ran for 45 yards last year. Not a ton. But Stafford and Brady actually had less than that in their Super Bowl-winning years. Most of this is Patrick Mahomes with a tiny sprinkling of Sam Darnold.

At the end of the day, all Goff needs to do is be Jared Goff and just do what he’s done the last four seasons in a row.

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